i'm going to assume Rafay didn't make it that it was 50/50 townies/scum and maybe something like 70/30 and with that assumption i'd say we have about 10/11 townies and 6/5 scum
Further analysis based off this assumption,
We've lost 3 townies & 1 scum, which means possibly we have either 7/8 townies & 5/4 scum left - again going off the assumption that it's 70/30 townie/scum ratio.
Also if there are multiple teams - based off this ratio assumption, TBR pointed out prior that there could be 3 scum teams of 2, or maybe 2 scum teams of 3 (which makes 6 scum in total and aligns with the 70/30 ratio assumption), now that we potentially only have 5/4 scum left, i'm assuming there may have been 2 teams of 3
I agree with Imran that either 3, 4, 5 of those 5 people who voted to quick-lynch him are possibly scum - its just such a quick bandwagon, but possibly not all as I wouldn't think one of the scum teams strategy would be to place all their votes in the same basket as that's just too obvious, so maybe only one or two of them are actually scum and are just looking at a cheap shot to lynch another townie.
EDIT:
The more I think about this, the more ideas I get, notice the people who go for the quick lynch, these are almost definitely scum.
If you look at KevinH's post prior to him being killed and found as scum, he was one of the people looking to majority lynch before the day proper ended, why? so scum could get their night actions quicker. This is one of the reasons I definitely think mario is scum.
I bolded two parts for my reply.
I guarantee there are two teams and at least one of those teams started with three people. It's no secret that Mario, iSo, and myself were on one of those teams and we were given instructions about what would happen if us or the other team dropped down to one remaining member.
On the quick lynch thing, I've seen where most scum prefer to stay below the radar. The natural instinct is to not draw attention. They know they are guilty so tend to act like it. Part of my quick vote was to see the response from fellow players. Sadly, it is about what is expected. Newer and less experienced players who were scum may see the quick opportunity to jump onto an early wagon while vet scum players sit back and wait to see how it plays out. I do find it telling that 1) Imran is focusing on someone else's posting (mario) instead of providing any analysis on who he thinks is scum; a scum mistake because they already know who the scum are and 2) Lyner, is semi-defending him by trying to support another wagon and also not providing any analysis.
There are five scum left and we lost two vanilla town and one roleblocker. Many of our remaining town should have decent roles that can help us figure this out. While I don't want a single one of them to say what they did or role-claim and paint a target on their back, it sure would be nice to be able to read between the lines a bit and have any useful information.