Let's take a look at first day's votes:
Nick the Great (0)
Imran (0)
Electric Mango (1) - Rafay
Preston (0)
Montosh (1) - Commander Shepard
iSocialism (0)
Rafay (6) - Kaziocore, Lyner, Imran, Preston, iSocialism, Electric Mango
Robert2424 (0)
KevinH (0)
Commander Shepard (0)
Lyner (1) - Montosh
Kaziocore (0)
No Lynch (1) - Nick the Great, KevinH
Not Voting (1) - Robert2424
In a 12 player game there is usually 3 scum, we confirmed a third party(probably SK) so it should be 2 mafia and 1 SK
The mafias, not sure that there is an SK would try to split into the wagon and off-wagon.
The SK lynched one guy from the wagon, therefore chance is he should not be in the wagon.
One of the mafia is in the wagon, so chance is the other is not in the wagon
Now let's look at last night's kill
Nick the Great (0)
Preston (0)
Montosh (0)
iSocialism (0)
Robert2424 (0)
KevinH (2) - Lyner, Kaziocore
Commander Shepard (3) - KevinH,
Robert2424, PrestonLyner (0)
Kaziocore (0)
No Lynch (0)
Not Voting (4) - Nick the Great, Montosh,
Commander Shepard, iSocialism
With 9 alive, it takes 5 to reach majority and 3 to reach half majority.
Commander Shepard is the current wagon leader at L-2.
Deadline is December, 13 2014 12:00 AM EST.
Preston, Vanilla Townie has been night killed.
Robert2424, Vanilla Townie has been night killed.
Both scum parties knows Preston is town, and if I were them I'd surely lynch him ASAP for sparking activities and leading town.
But if one of the scum targets Preston, it means risking having the other party targeted Preston, too. The safer choice is for both scums to target other people, since there are still a lot of towns remaining. Preston has been suspecting Kevin strongly, so it should be safe to kill Preston the next day if one of the scum isn't Kevin.
Yet one of the scum still take the risk and lynched Preston anyway. Is the scum Kevin? or is the scum framing Kevin?
The Robert kill is also an interesting one, he hasn't been posting much, if scum were trying to kill a townie then Kaz should be a better choice IMO(not to mention Kaz's the only one Preston believe is a town). Robert has suspicion about Kevin.
Much assumptions I know
That's that,
After all those mumbo jumbos, I'm feeling that our scum is Kevin and Nick, with iSoc as a runner up. Montosh hasn't posted much for me to get a good vibe, interesting fact tho, Montosh hasn't voted even once since RVS. We're screwed if Kaz is scum.