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New Hampshire Caucus


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#1
Sir Robert de Dudley

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So which candidate from each party will win tomorrow? Unless you're reading this on Tuesday who will win tonight? 

 

Right now I believe that on the Democratic side it should be Bernie Sanders just by being a neighbor to his home state also right now he leads the polls by 10 points but who knows Clinton did a good job during the last debate and the recent attacks on Bernie's definition of Progressives. Could this sway voters to her side? 

 

Now for the tougher part of the question who will win on the Republican side. Can Trump come back after Iowa, Can Rubio make a statement here, Will Ted go all the way. Can one of the lower candidates pull of an upset of some kind. 

 

 

So my predictions are

Democrats- Bernie Sanders

Republicans- Ted Cruz 

 

So no matter your ideology just post your predictions and maybe a statement on why they could win. So please try to keep hard political debates to a minimal. ;)  


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#2
CivilDefenseWarrior

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Bernie no doubt will in the primary for the democrats.

 

The republican race will be much closer but I agree Cruz will likely come out on top, unless Trump can really win over the supporters of some of the less than popular candidates.


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#3
Niels

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Bernie no doubt will in the primary for the democrats.

 

The republican race will be much closer but I agree Cruz will likely come out on top, unless Trump can really win over the supporters of some of the less than popular candidates.

 

Could you two elaborate on why you think Cruz will win in New Hampshire?

He doesn't appear to hold a lead in any poll, and while yes, Trump's numbers may be difficult to convert into votes (as shown in Iowa), it is still a big lift for Cruz to go from 4th place (RCP poll average) or 5th place (538 forecast) to 1st.


Also, NH is a primary, not caucus, state.  (Referring to the title of this thread)



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#4
Lysistrata

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I predict that no one will win the New Hampshire Caucus... mainly because everyone in New Hampshire will be too busy voting in their Primary to bother creating a caucus.

 

The candidates that will win the primaries will be Bernie Sanders for the Democrats, and Donald Trump for the Republicans.

 

The real race will be for who takes second in both contests... I think Marco Rubio will take second for the Republicans... mainly because Bush, Christie, and Kasich will split the anti-Rubio vote... and Loretta Lynch will stun the Democrat Party, blazing a trail to take second by slapping Hillary Clinton with an indictment for mishandling Classified information, and compromising National Security. BOOM!


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#5
Icewolf

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Trump and Sanders will win, and the media will immediately label it as a "shock upset" because "predicted winners win in utterly unexciting result" is just boring, dull, and downright un-American!


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#6
Niels

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If you want to give the folks of Dixville Notch any credence as being representative of the NH electorate as a whole (and you shouldn't - there are only 9 of them, but they famously vote at midnight), then we are looking at:

GOP:
Kasich: 60% (3 votes)
Trump: 40% (2 votes)

DEM:
Sanders: 100% (4 votes)

More details: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/campaign-2016-voting-begins-in-new-hampshire-primary/



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#7
Rhizoctonia

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If you want to give the folks of Dixville Notch any credence as being representative of the NH electorate as a whole (and you shouldn't - there are only 9 of them, but they famously vote at midnight), then we are looking at:

GOP:
Kasich: 60% (3 votes)
Trump: 40% (2 votes)

DEM:
Sanders: 100% (4 votes)

More details: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/campaign-2016-voting-begins-in-new-hampshire-primary/

 

 

Kasich will take any victory he can get.


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#8
Sir Robert de Dudley

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Ok well my bad didn't realize the difference this is the first election that I am paying the most attention to. So can the title be fixed? 

 

So with what I read about the Primary Yea it will probably be Trump over Ted. If not Rubio coming close but again not too sure. I just guessing based on who votes Trump may lead tons of polls but most people that support him I believe don't really vote. But we will just have to wait and see. 


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#9
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#10
Niels

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Behind the Trump phenomenon, the usual NH trend of voting for the experienced moderate-conservative tried to get through.  Hence why Kasich ended up in 2nd place, though with an unimpressive ~16% of the vote.



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#11
Sir Robert de Dudley

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Well on to the next step. Will this big for Bernie help him in the National polls? 


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#12
onbekende

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I heared the Huffington Post had a better headline :D


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