I like this version of Tony, I think he's town
Vote: Kevin
I like this version of Tony, I think he's town
Vote: Kevin
I agree with liking TMs involvement here...idk about his alignment
Why voting Kevin? I think you and brewers are on him, I just didn’t catch the rationale.
Robert2424, on 08 Nov 2020 - 06:04, said: I not participating as much cause this day is mainly chaos. Randomness. So idk. If this game was any semblece of normal, I might have something to go off of. For this type of game it's a poor excuse. With very slim chances for investigations there will be a lot of randomness. I don't know what else were you expecting.
MK obviously wants us to be active with the high post requirement. And you call me a troll while you don't even commit to playing the game actively.
Why voting Kevin? I think you and brewers are on him, I just didn’t catch the rationale.
Yeah the strange pattern is that they said something completely irrelevant to kevin then vote him at the end of a short post. Is this to do with fantasy football or the mafia game?
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
Nobody knows anything (as far as town is concerned). We cannot sit and preach for the rain (or rather for Cop), most probably he was blocked and won't come and save us. Without any other means of getting information, we need to lynch.
As I've mentioned my bet is that we'll have scum hiding in the sidelines (not on the Rafays wagon and not on the no lynch place). That means it's either Tony, Robert or KevinH. From here it's pretty random, so let' say:
vote Robert
If you have other theories and types for the lynch, then it's great. We need a discussion and wagons.
So we just going with lynching the IRON military officers off? Sure you don't have an ulterior motive there ABT?
Don't give him any ideas. /MOD'd
I know I have no room to talk as I definitely went nuclear on some people in one of my last mafia games, but it still seems like there's a lot of ooc interpersonal issues being brought into the game. Hopefully we can focus on the game rather than derailing.
I don't have any insights into what Brewers said, I only know my own role. As a mod, I would more likely feel I need to replace a player if they were a power role or mafia/SK. You can draw your own conclusions from that action from the mod.
Yeah the strange pattern is that they said something completely irrelevant to kevin then vote him at the end of a short post. Is this to do with fantasy football or the mafia game?
It wasn't completely without rationale, at least from my perspective. Quoting AbT here:
As I've mentioned my bet is that we'll have scum hiding in the sidelines (not on the Rafays wagon and not on the no lynch place). That means it's either Tony, Robert or KevinH.
... which is what brewers took as logical reasoning and he made the decision to place his vote on one of the 3, which turned out to be Kevin.
Lyner on the other hand is just notorious now for not giving any reason for voting, which is shady, but I kinda get it, since one of my dreams would be for people to understand you from just your vote, as they could gather enough information from the status quo and kind of get a picture of where your beliefs reside at any point in the game. But as good as it sounds in theory, that just doesn't apply in real life and especially not in mafia games. Hire a lawyer for all I care, just please, provide at least one sentence why you think your vote is right or what's the goal behind it and trust me when I say the suspicion on you will go down approximately 69%.
Okay, it's pretty obvious I pulled that number out of thin air, but I hope you understand what I'm getting at here...
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In summary we have 6 people alive that were on the Rafay's wagon, 3 that were on other wagons and 2 that were no lynchers, with 3 bad guys hiding somewhere in those groups.
If we assume scum would like to blend (so not go no-lynch route) and they wouldn't all jump on the Rafay's wagon, then there must be at least one among (Tony, KevinH, Robert)
Terrible assumptions. Terrible math.
Day 1 Final Votes:
Rafay (8): Baby, Abt, Limey, Wp, Tw, Dontavian, Lilywad, Brewers
Tony Maurice (2): Rafay, Robert
Torres (1): Tony
Wolfpacks (1): Kevin
Not voting: Torres, Ferastical
Who's left?
1 Mafia Cop Switch
1 Mafia Doc Switch
1 Mafia Vig Switch
1 Serial Killer (with Mafia NK Immunity OR Vig/Cop Immunity)
1 Cop
1 Doctor
1 Vigilante
7 6 Townies
Even if your assumption is true about 1 scum being among the 3 listed players, that leaves 2 scum among the rest.
Vote: Ali bin Turban
For making a false premise.
I’m also suspicious on the fact that you completely ignored my questions to you regarding the list @ABT
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
Okay, it's pretty obvious I pulled that number out of thin air, but I hope you understand what I'm getting at here...
Did you know, 87% of all statistics are made upon the spot?
I still don't agree with the premise that we are to assume that the other scum were not on Rafay's wagon. The only evidence we have of scum involvement in the wagon is that they were in fact on the wagon with WP's vote. You could make the argument that they tried to spread their votes around to avoid anyone drawing connections to them, but the wagon on Rafay was built on nothing, because the town had nothing, so its a free day kill to scum/SK. Maybe they weren't all voting for Rafay, but I think it's likely that at least one more maf was on that wagon, if not a maf and the SK.
In summary we have 6 people alive that were on the Rafay's wagon, 3 that were on other wagons and 2 that were no lynchers, with 3 bad guys hiding somewhere in those groups.
If we assume scum would like to blend (so not go no-lynch route) and they wouldn't all jump on the Rafay's wagon, then there must be at least one among (Tony, KevinH, Robert)
Terrible assumptions. Terrible math.
Day 1 Final Votes:
Rafay(8): Baby, Abt, Limey,Wp,Tw, Dontavian, Lilywad, Brewers
Tony Maurice (2):Rafay, Robert
Torres (1): Tony
Wolfpacks (1): Kevin
Not voting: Torres, Ferastical
Who's left?
1 Mafia Cop Switch
1 Mafia Doc Switch
1 Mafia Vig Switch
1 Serial Killer (with Mafia NK Immunity OR Vig/Cop Immunity)
1 Cop
1 Doctor
1 Vigilante
76 Townies
Even if your assumption is true about 1 scum being among the 3 listed players, that leaves 2 scum among the rest.
Vote: Ali bin Turban
For making a false premise.
I’m also suspicious on the fact that you completely ignored my questions to you regarding the list @ABT
As I've mentioned my bet is that we'll have scum hiding in the sidelines (not on the Rafays wagon and not on the no lynch place). That means it's either Tony, Robert or KevinH.
... which is what brewers took as logical reasoning and he made the decision to place his vote on one of the 3, which turned out to be Kevin.
Lyner on the other hand is just notorious now for not giving any reason for voting, which is shady, but I kinda get it, since one of my dreams would be for people to understand you from just your vote, as they could gather enough information from the status quo and kind of get a picture of where your beliefs reside at any point in the game. But as good as it sounds in theory, that just doesn't apply in real life and especially not in mafia games. Hire a lawyer for all I care, just please, provide at least one sentence why you think your vote is right or what's the goal behind it and trust me when I say the suspicion on you will go down approximately 69%.
I don't know what's brewers reason for the vote, but indeed I'm trying AbT's premise and chose Kevin out of the 3.
It did get Kevin to start talking
Sure, a 33% chance is better than a 25% chance.
But only a scum would *know* there is 1 scum among a set of 3 players.
As a townie, all I know is that there are 6 living players that voted to lynch a now-known townie.
Why group the players that voted for somebody else, but not the players that didn't vote at all?
Is there a scum among the 2 players that didn't vote?
If yes, then that's a 50% chance of finding scum there.
If no, then that puts 2 scum among the 6 living players that lynched Rafay. 33% again. Hmmm
As I said, "Terrible assumptions. Terrible math."
I think it's scummy to try to sway opinion with an argument like that.
Is this to do with fantasy football or the mafia game?
Thanks for asking.
After starting the season with 3 straight losses, I then won 5 in a row.
This week I have returned to my losing ways.
Did you know, 87% of all statistics are made upon the spot?
Did you know, that there was this statistics student who, when driving his car, would always accelerate hard before coming to any junction, whizz straight over it, then slow down again once he'd got over it? One day, he took a passenger, who was understandably unnerved by his driving style, and asked him why he went so fast over junctions. The statistics student replied, "Well, statistically speaking, you are far more likely to have an accident at a junction, so I just make sure that I spend less time there."
I don't know what's brewers reason for the vote, but indeed I'm trying AbT's premise and chose Kevin out of the 3. It did get Kevin to start talking![]()
Nice!
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I think the issue is more that even if we follow ABT's analysis, then the percentage of scum to townies on the Rafay wagon and otherwise, is the same. So using that as a method of choosing a target is literally irrelevant, other than to perhaps eliminate people who voted no lynch or didn't vote? I don't think we should ignore those other 2 though so I don't see a reason to waste time on the premise ABT brought up. I know we don't have much else to go by but I just see no benefit to using it compared to just choosing someone at random. It doesn't give us any better situation, if anything it makes us start assuming that certain people are most likely town when there is nothing to indicate such.
@Ali Bin Turban I'm sorry I missed that you got the names from votes and not post counts.
Let's look at Robert. Maybe he'll come back if we analyse what he has said and ask some questions.
DAY 1
VOTE BREWERS
Get this out of the way.
Fluff post with not much meaning. Is he trying to start a quick wagon on one of our best players and assets if he is town?
I mean, he did put a Jester into his game.
Day 1 fluff post.
O.O
Wow, that escalated quickly. Tony has not yet even come in and he already has 4 votes
.
FoS KevinH (don't you try to sneakily defend Tony).
Vote Brewers, because I don't want to read his comments when he's drunk
Vote brewers because he is an alcoholic
Vote: TheWarrior
No special privilege
Vote rafay for white privilege
Fluff Post
Well. You reap what you sow Tony.
After I called 4 votes on me cruel as I couldn't look at the game until after work when it started at 2 in the morning for me. I'd classify it as another fluff.
Unvote
VOTE TONY
Your a Troll and don't belong here.
Post 34 has my torres fluff vote. Is this anything worse in this game than what you have done Robert?
War Never changes. Tony and Torres never change while playing mafia.
FLUFF POST
Yes. Inactivity. Is. Bad.
Fluff post in response to Rafay's recent activity. Didn't really add anything to the discussion is why I classify it that way.
I feel there are more people wanting to troll then play the game...
More fluffish complaints.
So what do we see Robert do on day 1? He gets the exact post minimum by complaining about me and torres for things external to this game. He posts every day up until his war never changes quote. He calls inactivity bad but only meets the day minimum while posting every 2 days? Just remember one of his posts was literally "o.o". Should Robert be cut some slack for his serial fluffiness like everyone is on day 1 or should we be more harsh because of the contents of said fluff? He remained voted on me for invalid reasons.
DAY 2
I see the insanity hasn't let up just because I don't post a few days. Somehow got sort though these crazy posts.
This quote to me is very interesting. I guess it's up for interpretation but what really is so crazy about all the posts from 179, your last post at the time to post 237. I just can't see it myself and seeing that you specifically mention the posts are crazy can you tell us what is crazy about them?
A day when Robert doesn't get all passive aggressive with the current mafia community will be a happy day. Maybe someday we will get there...
To be fair its been earned over years of playing with the same schmucks on here.
I know I've caused headaches for people in the past too.
Not sure what you mean by Passive aggressive. I call things how I see it. Would you preferer I go crazy?
Just a response to LWW. I don't see anything from here except for a day 2 fluff post.
I not participating as much cause this day is mainly chaos. Randomness. So idk. If this game was any semblece of normal, I might have something to go off of.
An extremely interesting post too. What is so chaotic about this day, I just don't get it. Even if this game isn't normal we still have stuff to go off of, what is giving you so much trouble? If Trolly Tony can do it why can't you?
Only 3 posts and about 5 days left. You need to be more active. Either replacement or a lynching is in line if this pattern continues. Your day 2 posts just consist of you complaining about the game being too random. Just a horrible excuse. Why did you sign up? It's an open set up. You should have expected chaos. You have spent so much of this game fluffing and complaining about Tony/Trolls/Torres but have contributed less than me. All you have done is fluff post and offer no real insight into anything.
Why are you doing less than me, one you consider a troll?
Why do you claim chaos which doesn't exist as a reason not to post?
Robert, it's time to wake up, you're lurking hard and it's extremely suspicious.
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
Sorry for my inactivity this weekend. Had to bury a cousin. :/
Someone wanna TL;DR this all for me?
I don't know what's brewers reason for the vote, but indeed I'm trying AbT's premise and chose Kevin out of the 3.
As I've mentioned my bet is that we'll have scum hiding in the sidelines (not on the Rafays wagon and not on the no lynch place). That means it's either Tony, Robert or KevinH.
... which is what brewers took as logical reasoning and he made the decision to place his vote on one of the 3, which turned out to be Kevin.
Lyner on the other hand is just notorious now for not giving any reason for voting, which is shady, but I kinda get it, since one of my dreams would be for people to understand you from just your vote, as they could gather enough information from the status quo and kind of get a picture of where your beliefs reside at any point in the game. But as good as it sounds in theory, that just doesn't apply in real life and especially not in mafia games. Hire a lawyer for all I care, just please, provide at least one sentence why you think your vote is right or what's the goal behind it and trust me when I say the suspicion on you will go down approximately 69%.
It did get Kevin to start talking
Brewersalliance: Lover of the Pack and Beer. Hater of the Bears and Cheese.
Nukes Delivered for IRON-31
Nukes Taken for IRON-44
You are bresky, Brewsky, Brewers, stud-muffin, Mr. Sexypants, and that cute guy over in IA.
TO: Brewersalliance | FROM: SeaBeeGipson
TYPE: Nuclear Missile Strike | DATE: 8/18/2017 9:07:26 AM
Your nation has been attacked with nuclear weapons in a standard nuclear attack by SeaBeeGipson. You lost 488 soldiers, 0 defending tanks, 0 cruise missiles, 1.602 miles of land, 0.000 technology, 103.283 infrastructure, 75% of your aircraft, and 25% of your nuclear vulnerable navy force. In addition to these losses your nation will experience many days of economic devastation.Your clones are dead
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