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[TW-02] Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - Hogwarts Wins!

Harry Potter Sorcerers Stone 15 Players

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#501
Preston

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You crazy people who can get back to the thread this soon after it opens :P

That said, awesome that we got a night without a death... and doubly so for the claimed information. This shakes things up, so let's get down to it...

First and foremost, I am removing my FoS on Finster and moving instead to a HARD FoS on King Hitler. And not just for what Finster quoted above:

I tried to commute but was blocked. I think we may have 2 roleblocker, a bulletproof mod, or scum just didn't try.

My theory? We have a town roleblocker who blocked scum and scum roleblocker who blocked me. My question is who was the target? That setup would make sense if I was the target, but this is just theory. Anyone find anything last night

I'm calling shenanigans. According to MafiaWiki:

A Commuter is considered Normal on mafiascum.net. If a Commuter is commuting, it is untargettable that night by any means, not even Strongman, Roleblocker or Ninja. Any role that attempts to target a commuting Commuter should be treated as though they are blocked (e.g. receive a "No Result" pm if they are investigative).

Emphasis mine.

I interpret this as meaning a Commuter basically can't be touched at night. Mod feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.

I believe Finster is correct on that, and to double down on it:

First, my role claim that Samus requested. Ron Weasley, 1 shot commuter. May be why the results were different, ...

1-shot commuter... and claims that it might be why Samus's role was different. If you didnt use your role, it should not have done anything to affect Samus on Night 2. But then you claim you tried to commute on Night 3? How many shots again? I think we may have found our second scum right here. And the fact that Finster pointed out what he did, along with Samus's result on Night 3, exonerates Finster in my eyes.

Because I don't want the Ali wagon to immediately reach its end and kill the day (and because I still want to be skeptical of Kevin's roleclaim due to how 'too good to be true' it seems), I'm casting my vote for King Hitler:

Vote: King Hitler

And then we have Kevin's roleclaim.
1) He referred to me MUCH earlier as a Gryffindor Student, and I can confirm now that it is accurate. I was not sure how to interpret it before; flavor, a guess, etc? But this has helped now somewhat.
2) Samus (confirmed town) has confirmed Kevin's target last night is as presented, which Kevin could not have faked. And iSocialism has confirmed the result as well.
3) Kevin points at Ali, and acknowledges that either a Framer may be in play or he could be an 'Insane' cop.
3a) Per mafiawiki, 'Insane' cop is one that returns inverted results - scum as town, town as scum - and it is NOT random. Random cop is not in TW's game list. For this to be Kevin's case, BOTH iSocialism and I would have to be scum. And per above, I think we've found a scum in King Hitler's role contradiction... so unless we want to think there are FOUR scum in this game size, that rules out both iSoc and I together.
3b) Framer is not impossible, and could indeed lead to Kevin-As-Town returning an invalid result on Ali.
3c) Also want to point out that if we have a Mafia Godfather in play, iSoc could still be scum by passing this claimed investigation. Technically so could I, though obviously I say that I am not.

I want to be cautious here, but since we did NOT lose anyone last night we are currently at 11 alive, of which 2 or 3 are scum. This means we are NOT at Lynch-Or-Lose, which means that if Kevin were scum falsifying his result to individually point out Ali - even hedging his bet with Framer/Insane Cop - he would likely be lynched tomorrow if Ali turned out to be town. So for Kevin to pull this as a scum fake move right now would not seem to make any sense; he is linking his towniness to the validity of Ali proving scum, with a slim escape path if it turns out to be false.

So I am not sure I can see a scenario where Kevin could realistically be scum like this. If someone else can, please elaborate.

My other question revolves around the number of roles being claimed now. By my count we have Samus, Finster, Kevin, and KH's fake-looking commuter claim. How many roles would we expect to be in the game - and with one scum (generic goon) dead, what else could we expect on the scum side? They don't seem to have done much with it; one must be performing the kill (or attempting to), while the other does... what?

-Preston
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#502
Sister Midnight

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Kevin, Samus, and Finster have convinced me. No wall of text even if I wanted to give lengthy explanation, which is unnecessary because their logic makes sense, and I'm at work on my iPad.

VOTE ALI BIN TURBAN

FOS on King H

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#503
iSocialism

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The scenario of Kevin being scum would be highly risky for him. unless the scum have a role investigation role which they used to discover this info then use it to help Kevin seem town. I think waiting for AbT to show up would be a good idea. My idea is the shit hit the fan, and now they are deciding what to do.


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#504
Finster Baby

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If you think it's a good idea, I can unvote for AbT to defend himself.
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#505
iSocialism

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No, let's see who's willing to lay down the hammer vote instead of gather more info by seeing what AbT will say. If he will say anything.


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#506
Mazuurek

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go on, continue discussing...
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#507
iSocialism

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go on, continue discussing...

why don't you?


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#508
Lyner

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Bomb dropped by Kevin, here is our second confirmed townie :P

 

There's a lot of infos, let's sort it out one by one:

1. No one died last night, this could mean some things:

 

-Scums were inactive.

-Scums got roleblocked.

-Scums target a protected person.

 

If scums got roleblocked let's hear if anyone roleblocked someone last night.

 

2. Rafay turned out town:

-More scummy points to Mazu and KingH, iSoc might be considered town after we confirm Kevin's sanity

 

3. KevinH's role claim as cop

Regardless of his sanity, I'm pretty sure he is a legit town cop, reasons:

-Coming out while there is no substantial risk to him being exposed as scum.

-Couple that with the risk of another cop counter claiming him.

-The results' accuracy. As Kevin said a town can be two things: a Gryffindor Student or Helpful Hogwarts Staff. Kevin's results on both iSoc and Preston is correct(both areGryffindor students). This info can't be bluffed by a scum.

 

So even if Kevin is framed or he is insane cop, he's still a confirmed townie.

 

 

And that means now we should confirm his sanity by lynching AbT

 

The next in line to check: KingH and Mazu



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#509
Mazuurek

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go on, continue discussing...

why don't you?
I don't have much to say rn
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#510
Finster Baby

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Is the heat getting to you?

You, AbT, and KH must be on your QuickTopic thread in full blown panic mode.
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#511
SeaBeeGipson

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Is the heat getting to you?You, AbT, and KH must be on your QuickTopic thread in full blown panic mode.

Panic Mode - Activate.

Glad to see how this day is turning out.

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#512
Mazuurek

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Is the heat getting to you?You, AbT, and KH must be on your QuickTopic thread in full blown panic mode.

it's very hot here yes, but I'm not panicking, at least not yet.
also what is a quick topic thread?
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#513
Sister Midnight

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Did King h and maz just admit, albeit sarcasticly, they're scum???

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#514
SeaBeeGipson

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Did King h and maz just admit, albeit sarcasticly, they're scum???

I neither confirm nor deny that I am he who shall not be named.
I do, however, feel we as a group should rally together and lynch scum.

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#515
Mazuurek

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Did King h and maz just admit, albeit sarcasticly, they're scum???

i just said i have no reason to panic yet


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#516
The Warrior

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"Don't play," said Hermione at once.
"Say you're ill," said Ron.
"Pretend to break your leg," Hermione suggested.
"Really break your leg," said Ron."

 

 

Vote Count

 

Ali bin Turban (5): KevinH, Finster Baby, Mazuurek, Samus, Sister Midnight

King Hitler (1): Preston

Mazuurek (1): Wolfpacks

Finster Baby (0):

iSocialism (0):

KevinH (0):

Lyner (0):

Preston (0):

Samus (0):

Sister Midnight (0):

Wolfpacks (0):


No Lynch (0):

Not voting: Ali bin Turban, iSocialism, King Hitler, Lyner

 

With 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch or 3 at deadline.
Deadline is 12:00pm CST on Wednesday, July 20th.


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#517
Samus

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Did King h and maz just admit, albeit sarcasticly, they're scum???

I neither confirm nor deny that I am he who shall not be named.
I do, however, feel we as a group should rally together and lynch scum.
Umm are you going to explain the accusations against you?
Unvote
Vote King Hitler.


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Only I have the baptismal power.

Samus because of your dedicated service to IRON; your high casualty count and aid given your fellow IRONers. I hear by baptize ye in Fire and blood. You rise as IRON!

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MVP(Mod’s Choice)= Master Samus; I think Master Samus played amazingly for a guy who claims it was his second only mafia game. He never led the town on him and that’s why he deserves this award. He was impressive in manipulating the town that led to the ultimate mafia victory.
 
Player of Mafia; Master Samus/emudevelopment (shared); I think both were instrumental in the town’s defeat. Both were manipulative and deceptive. They clearly came out as pro-town and looked like de-facto town leaders. They led the lynch wagon w/o anyone uncovering their true motives.

Samus, you should be proud that you've helped make an environment where people feel safe enough to share their experiences.


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#518
Lyner

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Yep KingH seems pretty much like a panicking scum right now

 

And Mazuurek starts to look more and more like a Rafay

 

 

Lynch AbT today, lynch KingH tomorrow

 

Vote: King Hitler



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#519
Ali bin Turban

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Wow, after just one day of inactivity I got back and see I'm considered a scum :(. There can be just two options...well, 3 for everyone else.

 

 - I got framed: chance however is not very high if framing was done in a random manner: Framer would probably chose 4-5 people he felt could be dangerous, while cop would probably target 8-10 people (some were surely deemed as "not investigation worthy at this moment"). That would mean there were around 2% chances of this thing happening.

         However for more consistent results I could've been targeted by framer every night, which would make me turn scum with 100% chance when investigated by cop (within 3 nights time span that would be  25%-35% chance depending on cop preferences).

 

 - KevinH is not a Cop but rather a scum with some non lethal PR (like Framer or Scum Watcher for instance). He was in a difficult position after D3 and a very possible lynch candidate on D4...this however would be a risky move (since Cop is quite common PR). Even considering he would succeed in such gamble and win a very strong position in a Cop-less game, he would need to lead 3 miss lynches to win a game and people would start questioning him way before it happens. Therefore I don't consider it very probable, if at all.

 

 - 3rd option everyone else is considering is that I'm a scum - and this one is the most probable for all of you.

 

 

To be honest, if anyone else were in my position, I think I'd go with the most probable option and vote to lynch that guy. We are not in live or die situation and can afford to lynch one of our own. I've no role so nothing is lost anyway.



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#520
Finster Baby

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Yep KingH seems pretty much like a panicking scum right now
 
And Mazuurek starts to look more and more like a Rafay
 
 
Lynch AbT today, lynch KingH tomorrow
 
Vote: King Hitler

Wait - you say vote AbT today then vote KH?
That's not a real impassioned defense AbT...

I stick with my vote, with my very accusatory FoS pointed at King Hitler for tomorrow's kill.
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