Allright guys, tactics time. Since it's obvious I can't shake your suspicion I suggest we go along with the folloving plan:

 

At the end of this day you hang me. If this happens, the Vigilante MUST NOT KILL ANYBODY, or else we may easily lose. A nightkill happens. That should put us at 3 remaining players 2 town, 1 mafia. The battlefield updates should be quite informative at this point. Then, everybody should roleclaim, the townies should do it TRUTHFULLY. Here are the possible outcomes for that:

 

If the Vigilante was not killed during the night:

- 1 Vigilante, 2 Vanilla townies: You should vote for one of the Vanilla townies, whoever the battlefield % indicates.

- 2 Vigilantes, 1 vanilla townie: The mafia player claimed to be a vigilante you should vote for one of the Vigilantes with the battlefield % in mind.

 

If the Vigilante was killed during the night:

- 3 Vanilla townies: use the battlefield % to determine who to vote for.

 

What we absolutely SHOULDN'T do, is mark 2 players for death today (e.g: molestargazer and me). Because if you happen to miss the scum and lynch 2 townies...the mafia will win with the nightkill.

 

 

1. How can there be 2 vigilantes and 1 townie?

 

2. Yes...it would be safer to follow your suggestion of the vigilante to not kill. However, it will also give the mafia a chance to persuade the townies to vote for each other.

Also, at this point I don't think there are people who we can trust to be 100% townie. That includes CD.

 

I would like to hear everyone's opinion on my proposal.

 

Are you kidding me?

The battlefield update proves I'm townie.

The only way I can't be townie is if I'm a 3rd party.

And if that was the case...then the battlefield should swing in mafia's favour.

 

You are trying to spread the suspicions to everyone instead of focusing on the most likely suspects.

Well I'd say let's just lynch Mole first

1. How can there be 2 vigilantes and 1 townie?

 

One is the real one and the other is the mafia player counterclaiming

EBWOP: I counted the claims, not what the players actually are.

So, if you're willing to go through with my plan:

 

Vote:ccabal86

hey just a thought...but the battlefield percentages are wrong for today. :/ made a mistake. trying to figure out exactly what though.

So, if you're willing to go through with my plan:

 

Vote:ccabal86

 

Well if you're honestly a townie why vote for yourself?

It would waste one of our only two chances of getting the mafia.

 

Vote: Mole

So, if you're willing to go through with my plan:

 

Vote:ccabal86

 

Do you think this stunt will make us believe that you are townie?

hey just a thought...but the battlefield percentages are wrong for today. :/ made a mistake. trying to figure out exactly what though.

 

I suggest everyone unvotes so that we get a clear picture of the battlefield.

Do you think this stunt will make us believe that you are townie?

 

Then go ahead with my plan and vote me out, it will clear the picture quite a bit. The town wins as a collective and if my death helps achieve that victory, it's worth it.

In my opinion being a myrtr is all good and well but foolish for the situation right now

 

remember quick lynches wont win this game

 

i think it far better to wait and see if indeed the percentages are off and go from there

Battlefield Percentage(fixed):

 

Town 73.9% : 26.1% Mafia

 

and this is for the start of today. it does not include anything from today.

That puts things in a new perspective. I belive the mafia is either Nerau or Kaziocore.

Alive

78 + 6 = 84 CanucksDynasty

35 + 1 = 36 molestargazer

32 + 4 = 36 ccabal86

26 + 2 = 28 Kaziocore

19 + 2 = 21 Nerau

 

Dead

71 KevinH

32 + 6 = 38 Chaoshawk

34 Kasabian

24 + 4 = 28 Martino

14 Alasdair

 

 

Town 73.9% : 26.1% Mafia

 

Nerau as mafia...

Mafia = 21*4 = 84

Townie = 84+36+36+28 = 184

Total = 268

T 69% : 31% M

 

A bit unlikely scenario...

Kazio as 3rd + Nerau as mafia...

Mafia = 21*3 = 63

Townie = 84+36+36 = 156 219

T 71% : 29% M

 

 

If this is the case...I'm thinking Nerau is the possible mafia.

I need to look back at CH posts and Nerau posts to see if there are any connections.

 

No quick lynches please....

Unvote for the time being

Unvote

 

It's possible that Nerau is the scum.

CH was telling before he died that his partner is smart enough not to slip-up.

How could his partner slip-up when he seldom posts and just comment

on what's going on without adding much to the discussion.

 

Anyway if there's really a 3rd party in this game, then can anyone check

the calculations we had before to see if we could see anything?

Unvote

 

It's possible that Nerau is the scum.

CH was telling before he died that his partner is smart enough not to slip-up.

How could his partner slip-up when he seldom posts and just comment

on what's going on without adding much to the discussion.

 

Anyway if there's really a 3rd party in this game, then can anyone check

the calculations we had before to see if we could see anything?

 

 

I'll check tomorrow.

The calculations will also take into battlefield update on D2, D3 and D4.

Forgot to add that Martino did place a vote on Nerau after Kasa roleclaimed.

So a little more reason to suspect Nerau.

Forgot to add that Martino did place a vote on Nerau after Kasa roleclaimed.

So a little more reason to suspect Nerau.

 

You have a point considering

you were not killed even though

you got the highest post count

Checked the posts counts and they seem correct...

 

End of D1:

49 CanucksDynasty

36 KevinH

26 molestargazer

19 Chaoshawk

16 ccabal86

14 Kaziocore

12 Martino

10 Nerau

9 Alasdair

8 Kasabian

 

Total post count = 199

 

Let

T = townie post count

M = mafia post count

 

T + M = 199

 

T / (T + M*7/3) = 60.5%

 

Solving:

T = 155.5

M = 43.5

CH(19)+AL(9)+NE(10)=38

CH(19)+AL(9)+KC(14)=42

 

For NE or KC to be mafia...some posts don't count...most likely KevinH and me (CD).

 

End of D2:

Alive

78 CanucksDynasty

35 molestargazer

32 ccabal86

32 Chaoshawk

26 Kaziocore

24 Martino

19 Nerau

 

Dead

71 KevinH

34 Kasabian

14 Alasdair

 

 

2nd day post count = +166

1st count = +199

Killed Players' post count = -119

Total: 246

 

Let

T = townie post count

M = mafia post count

 

T + M = 246

 

T / (T + M*5/2) = 56.4%

 

Solving:

T = 187.898

M = 58.1018

 

CH(32)+KC(26)=58

CH(32)+NE(19)=51

Since some posts don't count...the math shows that Nerau is probably mafia

 

 

End of D3:

78 + 6 = 84 CanucksDynasty

35 + 1 = 36 molestargazer

32 + 4 = 36 ccabal86

26 + 2 = 28 Kaziocore

19 + 2 = 21 Nerau

 

Dead

71 KevinH

32 + 6 = 38 Chaoshawk

34 Kasabian

24 + 4 = 28 Martino

14 Alasdair

 

Town 73.9% : 26.1% Mafia

 

Let

T = townie post count

M = mafia post count

 

T + M = 205

 

T / (T + M*4) = 73.9%

 

Solving:

T = 188.368

M = 16.63

 

Again...taking into consideration that some townie posts don't count...

Closest would be Nerau with 19 posts.

 

Strikes against Nerau...

1. On D1...he didn't want to go with the plan of limiting posts to separate the top 3 posters.

2. As ccabal86 posted...CH doesn't mention Nerau as a possible suspect.

3. On D2...he was fingered by Martino who was just nk'd

 

 

A 3rd party is most unlikely given that it would mean the town only had 1 power-role (doc).

So most likely we have a pro-town vigilante.

So between Kaziocore and Nerau I would have to....

 

 

Vote: Nerau

I definately agree that Nerau is the more suspicious one. I however, would still advise our Vigilante not to target anyone during the night. If we happen to miss today, we still have 1 more day to get the mafia.

 

Vote: Nerau

I definately agree that Nerau is the more suspicious one. I however, would still advise our Vigilante not to target anyone during the night. If we happen to miss today, we still have 1 more day to get the mafia.

 

Vote: Nerau

 

 

Unless Nerau happens to be the vigilante...

Knowing my luck (as I had wanted to lynch Kasa our doc)...he probably is.

Then Nerau it is

 

Vote: Nerau