Nick the Great (0)

Preston (0) 

Montosh (0)

iSocialism (0)

Robert2424 (0)

KevinH (3) - Preston, Lyner, Kaziocore

Commander Shepard (0) - KevinH, Robert2424

Lyner (0)

Kaziocore (0)

No Lynch (0)

 

Not Voting (4) - Nick the Great, Montosh, Commander Shepard, iSocialism

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to reach majority and 3 to reach half majority.

 

KevinH is the current wagon leader at L-2.

Deadline is December, 13 2014 12:00 AM EST.

 

Kevin seems to be trying really hard to not get lynched, without much real evidence or reason other than "I'm town" and "If I'm gone it's another town member lost".  Seems really suspicious.  

Vote: KevinH

Indeed, I'm "trying really hard not to get lynched".

KevinH (4) - Preston, Lyner, Kaziocore, Nick the Great
Commander Shepard (2) - KevinH, Robert2424
Not Voting (3) - Montosh, Commander Shepard, iSocialism

 

 

Things aren't looking good on the home front.
"I told you so" (again)

 

Since the activity has increased. I am extending the deadline to December 13 12 AM EST.

 

That gives me 27 hours to plead with those that haven't voted yet.

 

If I'm lynched, it's a townie gone.  

With Commander Shepard still in the game, it's a lost vote for tomorrow's lynch.

The scum will get a couple kills in and there won't be much of a chance for townies to have a successful lynch tomorrow.

You really don't want to hear me say "I told you so" again, do you?

 

Both scum and town will say their lynch will be another townie gone, right up until it happens. More WIFOM I guess. 

 

 

MOD: Can you replace Commander Shepherd with TBRaiders

 

^ I think this would answer one of your problems

Where did you get TBRaiders' name from to volunteer...? I wouldn't mind a replacement and that WOULD help, but seems kinda out of nowhere. I'd also like confirmation that this can happen ASAP, preferably before the day ends...

 

 

Kevin seems to be trying really hard to not get lynched, without much real evidence or reason other than "I'm town" and "If I'm gone it's another town member lost".  Seems really suspicious.  

Vote: KevinH

This sounds a little familiar...

 

Preston does seem to be trying really hard to lynch Kevin, lol.  It's pretty suspicious.  

Nick has just gone from saying I was suspicious (without placing a vote) to jumping on the 3-vote bandwagon and saying Kevin is suspicious. He did this with Rafay on Day 1 as well...

 

I'm thinking that Rafay is really suspicious right now, voting without any reasoning, and not changing his stance.  I would vote for him if he wasn't already 1 vote from being lynched.  That being said, I'm new so I'm not sure what to look for, or who to be suspicious of to be honest.

 

Granted Nick is new - Kaz's statement of (more) town noob than scum noob may apply - but it still catches my eye somewhat. 

 

Kevin - You have 4 votes on you now. You could be scum and right up until the lynch happens you'd act.... well, exactly like this. I've already detailed why I suspect you, so unless you can offer an alternate lynch whose information would give us more to go on for Day 3, odds are we'll be *right* back to lynching you tomorrow if you're not lynched today. 

 

-Preston

MOD: Kaziocore asked about a replacement for Commander Shepard, who seems to have gone inactive. He offered TBRaiders as a name to do the replacing. Can you confirm (ASAP before the day ends if possible!) if this is approved or not?

 

MOD: Can you replace Commander Shepherd with TBRaiders

 

^ I think this would answer one of your problems

Where did you get TBRaiders' name from to volunteer...? I wouldn't mind a replacement and that WOULD help, but seems kinda out of nowhere. I'd also like confirmation that this can happen ASAP, preferably before the day ends...

 

 

See the Mafia Signup Thread and it won't seem kinda out of nowhere.

Fair enough. Obviously I hadn't checked it once the game started

So... am I reading it right that we're at two hours to go? Ugh, the suspense! 

It doesn't seem right. Kevin always acts exactly like this. I'm not saying there's nothing to the lynch, but Kevin is here and actively contributing.

It doesn't seem right. Kevin always acts exactly like this. I'm not saying there's nothing to the lynch, but Kevin is here and actively contributing.

 He is indeed actively contributing NOW. He wasn't before. I'll definitely admit he's become more open with his most recent posts... if he'd been like this earlier I may not have been so quick to suspect him. As it is, I'm not without my doubts now... but given my analysis I don't really see many better options at present. 

The day may end soon... barring a sudden and abrupt change of heart, Kevin is likely about to be lynched. I may well be killed at night as well... so I'm going to give a dump of my current thoughts for reference. 

 

1. NickTheGreat caught my eye a few posts back when he flipflopped from saying my pushing hard was 'suspicious' (but not voting) then saying kevin was 'suspicious' and jumping on an already half-majority bandwagon. Maybe he's town noob vs scum noob like Kaz said, but he did the same ish thing on Day 1 so it drew my attention. 

 

2. Whereas Commander Shepard seems truly inactive, we've got a LOT of people otherwise active in this war who aren't posting here.

2a. Where is Robert? Robert had also said his role was 'anti climactic' before the game started, and he likes to play town - what would be anti-climactic to him? Scum, or vanilla townie?

2b. Montosh just now showed up just in time to say it didnt feel right about Kevin. I'm hoping Keven flips scum, but if he doesnt - scum positioning to denounce Kevin's lynch after the day's long silence? Hard to tell. I won't deny though that Kevin has been far more... contributing, of late. But again WIFOM... no way to know except the one way. 

 

3. I've said based on my analysis that I don't think there are more scum on the Rafay wagon. It still makes sense... but I don't want to give them a 100% clean bill of health.

3a. iSocialism has felt town; even though he's suspected me on a few occasions, he seems to genuinely be *searching* - though he did abruptly change his stance from suspecting me to joining the Rafay wagon on Day 1.

3b. Lyner I'm mixed on - frankly he's supported most of my positions. But as Kevin pointed out earlier, he has somewhat followed me. Is this scum trying to follow an aggressive townie, or just town being genuinely convinced?

 

4. The only clear town vibe I've gotten was from Kaz so far. This is not definitive, but there you go. 

The analysis is flawed as you shall soon see.

 

Where did all the "good" contributions lead on day 1?  To a dead townie.

 

Where is the current analysis leading?  To a dead townie.

 

You'll be left with a bunch of semi-active/inactive players with the best hope to win is that the scum kill each other off.

 

My recommended alternative?  Commander Shepard.  

If one player switches their vote from me to him and one player comes off the not voting list to him, I will live through this day.

We have one hour left in the day.

 

 

Kevin seems to be trying really hard to not get lynched, without much real evidence or reason other than "I'm town" and "If I'm gone it's another town member lost".  Seems really suspicious.  

Vote: KevinH

This sounds a little familiar...

 

Preston does seem to be trying really hard to lynch Kevin, lol.  It's pretty suspicious.  

Nick has just gone from saying I was suspicious (without placing a vote) to jumping on the 3-vote bandwagon and saying Kevin is suspicious. He did this with Rafay on Day 1 as well...

 

I'm thinking that Rafay is really suspicious right now, voting without any reasoning, and not changing his stance.  I would vote for him if he wasn't already 1 vote from being lynched.  That being said, I'm new so I'm not sure what to look for, or who to be suspicious of to be honest.

 

Granted Nick is new - Kaz's statement of (more) town noob than scum noob may apply - but it still catches my eye somewhat. 

 

Kevin - You have 4 votes on you now. You could be scum and right up until the lynch happens you'd act.... well, exactly like this. I've already detailed why I suspect you, so unless you can offer an alternate lynch whose information would give us more to go on for Day 3, odds are we'll be *right* back to lynching you tomorrow if you're not lynched today. 

 

-Preston

OK, I do seem to look really bad there to be honest.  I am new, and I agree with Kaz.  I kinda forgot about my vote on you earlier, since I got semi inactive for a few days.  Kevin just caught my eye when I saw some of the things he posted.  To be honest, I am not so what I am doing yet, since this is my first game, but Now that you pointed it out, my behavior was pretty dumb.

 Unvote

 

PS.  This game reminds me of a court trial, with people questioning and cross examining each other.  I do think this game would be better in real time tho, like within an hour or two time frame on IRC,  Either way, it's pretty fun.

 

The analysis is flawed as you shall soon see.

 

Where did all the "good" contributions lead on day 1?  To a dead townie.

 

Where is the current analysis leading?  To a dead townie.

 

You'll be left with a bunch of semi-active/inactive players with the best hope to win is that the scum kill each other off.

 

My recommended alternative?  Commander Shepard.  

If one player switches their vote from me to him and one player comes off the not voting list to him, I will live through this day.

 

You've said your alternative is Commander Shepard. He may be replaced and hopefully be more active... but the fact you keep pushing for just 'anyone else' does indeed seem scapegoating more than trying to find an alternative you actually *suspect* as opposed to just someone you can get enough votes for. That's never sat right with me... but if I look at it through the lens of "Kevin will just do whatever to stay alive," I guess it makes sense. 

 

So other than Commander Shepard - who else do you actually *suspect* now that the day is almost over? 

 

You've got me starting to wonder about you. The first thing you needed has happened; someone has unvoted. Give me a name of someone else you suspect - actually suspect, not just are willing to vote for - and I might be willing to swap votes myself to see what happens overnight. That's just about the only source of information we have at this point. 

 

-Preston

No one else is reading this thread anymore - which means Kevin isn't going to answer. 

 

He has given me enough to suspect him up until now - but given his behavior in the face of his impending lynch, I don't feel as certain as I did. 

 

So therefore... I'm going to do what may be seen as a mistake. I want more time to debate Kevin, and more information about who's linked to whom to do it with. So I'm going to do what I didn't want to do earlier, and switch my vote to the inactive Shepard. 

 

I still think the logic that either one or no scum remain on the Rafay wagon is valid - that's based on what the scum chose by killing EM, when Imran was killed and they couldnt predict it. But I'm going to see if Kevin's got more to him tomorrow, or based on what happens tonight. 

 

However if I am killed tonight... my suspicion of Kevin will remain. Let's keep this game interesting. And I really hope I'm not making a huge mistake here. 

 

Unvote

Vote: Commander Shepard

Also - seriously, PLEASE be more active tomorrow people! The silence earlier this day when the war started made me think the game was going to be cancelled. I see a lot of you on IRC or otherwise active on the forums; it doesnt take that long to check in and catch up if you do it a bit at a time. 

 

-Preston

And one more, because I seriously think I'm up for the chop tonight - Kevin, the inactive is gone. No more excuses for not voting for people you actually *suspect*, as opposed to those who simply have low post counts. 

It's midnight. I see d3mon reading the thread, probably about to post. I also see iSocialism; post quickly if you're going to. 

Vote: Shepard

maybe a little late

Perhaps not; d3mon has not posted the end of the day yet. Interesting you jumped on as you did... we've gone from 4 on kevin, to 4 on shepard. 

 

I don't see d3mon reading the thread anymore either... we'll see the answer of it soon enough. I frankly expect a townie flip, since he was inactive... but let's see. Maybe he was inactive scum... can hope, I suppose. 

 

-Preston

Nick the Great (0)

Preston (0) 

Montosh (0)

iSocialism (0)

Robert2424 (0)

KevinH (2) - Lyner, Kaziocore

Commander Shepard (3) - KevinH, Robert2424, Preston

Lyner (0)

Kaziocore (0)

No Lynch (0)

Not Voting (4) - Nick the Great, Montosh, Commander Shepard, iSocialism

 

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to reach majority and 3 to reach half majority.

 

Commander Shepard is the current wagon leader at L-2.

Deadline is December, 13 2014 12:00 AM EST.

 

Commander Shepard, Vanilla Townie, has been lynched.

 

Its now Night 2.

Night actions to me by December, 16 2014 12:00AM EST.

Day 3 starts

 

Nick the Great (0)

Montosh (0)

iSocialism (0)
KevinH (0)

Lyner (0)
Kaziocore (0)

No Lynch (0)

Not Voting (6) - Nick the Great, Montosh, iSocialism, KevinH, Lyner, Kaziocore

With 6 alive, it takes 4 to reach majority and 2 to reach half majority.

There is no wagon leader at this time.

Deadline is December, 24 2014 1:00 AM EST.

 

Preston, Vanilla Townie has been night killed.

Robert2424, Vanilla Townie has been night killed.