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[OP-06] Mafia Wins - Kill Everyone Mafia

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I think we should follow Kevin's plan if his math is right. I've been out of the math game too long to remember how to check his math but I'm willing to give Kevin the benefit of the doubt. Win or lose this will be a sure fire way of making this the fastest game in IRON mafia history.

I think we should follow Kevin's plan if his math is right. I've been out of the math game too long to remember how to check his math but I'm willing to give Kevin the benefit of the doubt. Win or lose this will be a sure fire way of making this the fastest game in IRON mafia history.

You could be cooperating with Kevin to give the thugs an easy victory.

At the very least, my plan should give a basis for discussion which we can use later if necessary.

 

The scum will know whether the proposal will be a win for them or not.  If we lynch a scum that was opposed to it, we can clear the players on either side.  If we lynch a scum that was in favor of it, then we can put suspicion on the players on either side.

 

However, I think it would be very tough to lynch a scum at this point.  It's 4 townies to 3 scum so they can choose not to vote for one of their own or join in on the lynch of the townie.

 

The advantage we have is that we have vigilante kills.  They don't take a majority and are free from mafia influence.  If we get it wrong, though, we'll be in trouble just like a mislynch.

So I have a feeling EM, Lyner, and Kevin could be on all the same mafia boat wanting this game because they think can win with the given test or they are just being scums trying to test this strategy if it works. 

It's every man for himself, town has a good chance of winning if the targets are killed right.

 

Agreed. Which are the right targets?

 

But why are you 2 so eager to end the game at nightfall?

 

Are you suggesting that the vigilantes should not shoot so that the game goes longer?

 

Any lynch today will most likely be a townie, which would be one less vigilante shot at night.

 

Vote: No lynch

 

(Because the vigilantes should shoot rather than have a mislynch)

How about a new plan?
 
One problem with my original plan is that the scum would agree to it if they know that it would provide a win for them or they would argue against it if they know it would provide a loss for them.
 
Another problem is that it includes me as a target.  Either you trust me that I'm a townie or you don't.
 
Finally, rather than alphabetical, I think we should assign targets based on something relatively random, but available to all.  I could assign a stock to each player and then arrange according to the stock performance on a given day.  For example,


Electric Mango = Apple Inc.
iSocialism = Cisco Systems, Inc.
Lyner = General Electric Company
Nenos the Great = Intel Corporation
Rafay = Microsoft Corporation
Road2Victory = Pfizer Inc.

 

Now players will have to agree or disagree with the plan without the scum knowing whether they will win or lose with it.

Make sense?

My scheme is the best chance for the town to win.

 

I initially put everyone alphabetical but upon further review saw that the scum would know whether they would win or not with that ordering.

 

It now seems there are two vocal opponents to that scheme. We have "every man for himself" and "1 day-1 lynch".

 

Both of these plans are sub-optimal and would require more luck to win than my plan.  I'm thinking that the scum would prefer this to my plan.

Lyner (GE) = -0.17%

Electric Mango (Apple) = -0.40%

Road2Victory (Pfizer) = -0.83%

iSocialism (Cisco) = -0.95%

Rafay (Microsoft) = -1.38%

Nenos (Intel) = -1.45%

 

Source: Yahoo Finance

Lyner (GE) = -0.17%

Electric Mango (Apple) = -0.40%

Road2Victory (Pfizer) = -0.83%

iSocialism (Cisco) = -0.95%

Rafay (Microsoft) = -1.38%

Nenos (Intel) = -1.45%

 

Source: Yahoo Finance

Awesome. Where's Kevin though?

Awesome. Where's Kevin though?

Another problem is that it includes me as a target.  Either you trust me that I'm a townie or you don't.

 

If you're trusting that I'm townie, there's no point in shooting at me. So of the 6 remaining, 3 are scum and 3 are vigilantes. I need to ponder how this changes the probabilities.

 

So basically you are saying townie and have a plan? But what if inside you are actually mafia and trying to kill everyone on the first round? 

I am just skeptical about you in general, not the plan. 

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