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[OP-06] Mafia Wins - Kill Everyone Mafia


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#1
Kaziocore

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[OP-06] Kill Everyone Mafia

Players (7/7)

  • Lyner
  • KevinH
  • Road2Victory
  • Electric Mango
  • Rafay
  • Nenos the Great
  • iSocialism

Still Alive (1/7)

Spoiler

Already Dead
Spoiler

Links to Important Stuff
Replacement Thread
Rules and Role PMs
 
1.00, 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 1.04

2.00, 2.01 (END)
 


Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

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Mafia fail statistics: 13 Wins (11T/1M/1O), 7 Loses (6T/1O), 4 Draws/Abandoned
Code Geass Mafia is currently looking for players. Come play with us!

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#2
Kaziocore

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GENERAL RULES

  • Votes must be bolded. Unvotes are not required, but can help with clarity. A majority of votes is required to lynch before deadline—no exceptions.
  • You may also vote No Lynch; if the majority does so, day will end early without a lynch.
  • If I impose a day deadline, lynching will require at least half of the regular majority. In case of a tie, first come first served.
  • Deadlines will be two weeks if 7 players are alive, and one week if fewer than 7 players are alive. Each night will be two days.
  • If three consecutive cycles pass with no lynch or kill attempt, the game automatically ends in a draw.
  • Prods go out after 48 hours of inactivity. If you do not respond to a prod within 24 hours or I have to prod you a third time, I will replace you.
  • If something needs my attention, PM me or bold the word "Mod" followed by what you want to tell me.

DON'TS

  • Do not use the collor yellow. This will be the mod's color.
  • Do not bring outside influences into the game - this includes threats, bribes, wagers, promises, "trust tells", alliances, etc. Using knowledge from previous games is perfectly acceptable, but try not to carry grudges from one game to another.
  • Do not talk outside the game thread about an ongoing game except where explicitly allowed to do so by your role/moderator. Likewise, do not use bbcode to hide secret messages - this equates to discussion outside the thread.
  • Do not quote communications with the moderator (in particular, your role PM). Paraphrasing is usually ok.
  • Do not post in the game after you are dead or replaced except for "Bah" posts—no exceptions.
  • Do not edit/delete posts as this is cheating.
  • Do not claim as scum with others, regardless of the truth of the claim. Claiming scum by yourself is fine.
  • Do not pretend to break the rules or encourage others to break the rules.

GAME SPECIFIC RULES

  • Scum can NK each other if they want to.
  • Scum win if all players die simultaneously.
  • The game only ends when one faction has no chance of victory; merely equaling the town's numbers is not enough for scum to win.
  • The game thread is open during Night, so that town can coordinate nightkills if the entire scum team decides to pile onto a quicklynch.

ROLE PM
 

Welcome, [Player]. You are a Mafia Goon, along with your partners, [Player] and [Player]. You are the bad guys.

Abilities:
Factional Communication - At any time, you may talk with your partners via QuickTopic.
Factional kill - Each night phase, you may message the moderator your choice of who to kill and who is performing the kill.

Win Condition:
You win when all town-aligned players are dead, or if nothing can prevent this, regardless of who else is alive. Note that merely equaling the town's numbers is not usually enough to win in this setup.

 

Welcome, [Player], you are a Town Vigilante. You are one of the good guys.

Abilities:
Nightkill - You may target a player, thus killing them.

Win Condition:
You win when all living players are aligned with the town, and at least one town-aligned player survives.


Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

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Mafia fail statistics: 13 Wins (11T/1M/1O), 7 Loses (6T/1O), 4 Draws/Abandoned
Code Geass Mafia is currently looking for players. Come play with us!

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#3
Kaziocore

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NIGHT 0 begins and PMs are being sent.
DAY 1 will begin after a majority of players have confirmed via PM.


Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mafia fail statistics: 13 Wins (11T/1M/1O), 7 Loses (6T/1O), 4 Draws/Abandoned
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#4
Kaziocore

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In a basement of a disappointed mother, 7 nerds play a game called Mafia.
This is their story...

Votecount 1.00

Lyner (0) -
KevinH (0) -
Road2Victory (0) -
Electric Mango (0) -
Rafay (0) -
Nenos the Great (0) -
iSocialism (0) -

Not Voting (7) - Lyner, KevinH, Road2Victory, Electric Mango, Rafay, Nenos the Great, iSocialism

With 7 alive, it takes 4 to reach majority and 2 to reach half-majority.
No one is the current wagon leader at L-4
Deadline is Thursday, November 19, 2015 @ 22:30 EDT


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Mafia fail statistics: 13 Wins (11T/1M/1O), 7 Loses (6T/1O), 4 Draws/Abandoned
Code Geass Mafia is currently looking for players. Come play with us!

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#5
Electric Mango

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Interesting set up. This game has the possibility of going extremely quick. What does everyone think the best strategy should be?
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#6
Road2Victory

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Best strategy is to find who the mafia is of course and see the activity of the current people, like how much the post and what their reasons may be. 


Posted Image
Joshua 1:9
"Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts"- Winston Churchill
"War does not determine who is right-only who is left" -Bertrand Russell
"We shall show mercy, but shall not ask for it"- Winston Churchill
"You ask what the aim is? I tell you it is victory- total victory"- Winston Churchill

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#7
Lyner

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Hi



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#8
Rafay

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Mafia will go for NK definitely. May be we should hold-off using our ability and just lynch during the day? This would bring longevity to the game.


rafaysig2.png






 


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#9
KevinH

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I'm a vigilante.

Then again, everyone will say that.

For those not paying attention:

Roles:
The following roles are used:

 

The scum have one kill per night while we potentially have four.

The problem is that the scum will definitely kill a townie, while we (the town vigilantes) are taking a chance when we shoot.

There are no investigative roles so we will not gain information as the game progresses, other than the vote counts and the character of posts in this thread.
 

"Do you feel lucky, punk?"

 

Each of us has a 50% chance of hitting a scum if we shoot tonight.  The odds of hitting a scum will go up as townies die, but there will be less townies to do the shooting.  This is an interesting problem.



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#10
KevinH

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Here's a plan:


Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango

 

If the mafia are evenly distributed and everybody shoots, we should hit them with our 4 shots..
 
The scheme fails when there are 2 mafia in a row, but only 1 would survive that way.
 
However, they only have 1 shot for the 3 of them, so 2 of the townies will survive and they can lynch the 1 that should have shot them.



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#11
Road2Victory

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Everybody's just shooting everybody?
Posted Image
Joshua 1:9
"Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts"- Winston Churchill
"War does not determine who is right-only who is left" -Bertrand Russell
"We shall show mercy, but shall not ask for it"- Winston Churchill
"You ask what the aim is? I tell you it is victory- total victory"- Winston Churchill

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#12
Electric Mango

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Here's a plan:


Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango


If the mafia are evenly distributed and everybody shoots, we should hit them with our 4 shots..

The scheme fails when there are 2 mafia in a row, but only 1 would survive that way.

However, they only have 1 shot for the 3 of them, so 2 of the townies will survive and they can lynch the 1 that should have shot them.

Here's a plan:


Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango


If the mafia are evenly distributed and everybody shoots, we should hit them with our 4 shots..

The scheme fails when there are 2 mafia in a row, but only 1 would survive that way.

However, they only have 1 shot for the 3 of them, so 2 of the townies will survive and they can lynch the 1 that should have shot them.

I think you just broke the game 🤒
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#13
KevinH

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I think you just broke the game

Everybody's just shooting everybody?

 

Yes, everybody shoots their designated target.

Everybody has to cooperate but as I see it, this gives the town the best chance.

There might be uncertainty if 3 people survive and the 2 townies need to correctly lynch the 3rd scum.

We'll see.



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#14
Lyner

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Here's a plan:


Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango

 

If the mafia are evenly distributed and everybody shoots, we should hit them with our 4 shots..
 
The scheme fails when there are 2 mafia in a row, but only 1 would survive that way.
 
However, they only have 1 shot for the 3 of them, so 2 of the townies will survive and they can lynch the 1 that should have shot them.

 

There are 3 mafia, if there are 3 mafia in a row we lost the game

 

If there are 2 mafia in a row and 1 at a random row, wouldn't town still lose?

 

Mafias have one kill, let's assume they picked Kevin, if the other townies kill their respective target then the one who will be left is 1 mafia and 1 town:

 

Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango

 

IF all the mafias are scattered, then we will win:

 

Electric Mango shoots iSocialism
iSocialism shoots KevinH
KevinH shoots Lyner
Lyner shoots Nenos the Great
Nenos the Great shoots Rafay
Rafay shoots Road2Victory
Road2Victory shoots Electric Mango
 

What is the possibilities of each scenario? Someone call a mathematician



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#15
KevinH

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You are correct that 2 mafia in a row leaves 1 townie and 1 mafia, which I believe is a mafia win since there would be a no-lynch and then a simultaneous kill at night.
 
 

What is the possibilities of each scenario? Someone call a mathematician

 
7 Players {A, B, C, D, E, F, G} can be arranged in 7! = 5040 ways (permutations)

If Players {A, B, C} are mafia,

3!*7 = 42 of the permutations would have the 3 mafia in a row.

3!*4*3*2!*7 = 1008 would have 2 mafia together but not next to the 3rd.

(42+1008)/5040 = 20.8% chance of the mafia winning in this scheme.
 
1 - 20.8% = 79.2% chance of the town winning in this scheme.

 

What else would a nerdy guy do on a Saturday afternoon?



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#16
KevinH

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Post Count:


4 KevinH
2 Electric Mango
2 Lyner
2 Road2Victory
1 Rafay
0 iSocialism
0 Nenos the Great

 

Vote: iSocialism



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#17
Electric Mango

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Can anyone else verify the math on this?
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#18
Rafay

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OK I lost everything after Lyner posted. :roll:


rafaysig2.png






 


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#19
Road2Victory

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I would have to agree with Kevin's idea, it's town's best idea since there is a little chance of mafia winning on this one. 


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Joshua 1:9
"Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts"- Winston Churchill
"War does not determine who is right-only who is left" -Bertrand Russell
"We shall show mercy, but shall not ask for it"- Winston Churchill
"You ask what the aim is? I tell you it is victory- total victory"- Winston Churchill

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#20
Lyner

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In a basement of a disappointed mother, 7 nerds play a game called Mafia.
This is their story...

 

 

Story checks out



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