Well... things are not slowing down. The Supremes effectively killed the Unions this morning, Trump will be sitting down with Putin, Little Kimmy has killed all anti-USA propaganda in North Korea, a Trade War is about to begin, US GDP is projected to hit 5%, and Justice Anthony Kennedy is retiring, paving the way for Trump to add another Gorsuch to the Supreme Court before the 2018 midterms...

 

I'm not at all tired of all this winning, but the left is throwing out their old Trump haters and nominating young Socialists to run in November... they are losing their collective Progressive minds. Time to start talking about the upcoming 2018 midterm elections. This is a fine place to start.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eFRHX6glTSM

Most of the people going with "I don't belief the polls/predictions" generally don't understand what actual polling or predictions are. Couple this with some idiotic click-bait sites that went for ludricous "+95% Hillary" stuff and you indeed get bad faith in it.

 

For Polling: the metrics and adjustments behind polling are ever changing and ever updating, no respectable polling place wants to keep missing the obvious, like no kitching will keep forgetting to add salt.

 

For Predictions: take everything both with a grain of salt BUT also understand what an actual prediction means. For instance 538 (which got mentioned here and is only an aggregator!) had a Trump win more likely then you flipping a coin and get heads twice. Predictions are run in "big numbers/volumes" and are percentages, they aren't a "50%+1 WINS!" type deal.

 

And lastly, don't underestimate the November Surprise and its impact on still undecided voters.

Adding to this: people don't seem to understand how odds and percentages work. If candidate X has 25% chance of winning that isn't insignificant. That's one in four, which is pretty substancial.

My theory is that the House is split right down the middle. And the Republicans gain 2 Senate seats.

 

Democrat voter turnout in Mid Term elections tends to be low, and their constant circus act seem to be pushing Moderates away.

Mid terms do have a low turnout but this is Trump era we're living in. Its do or die situation for Dems. They have to mobilize their base and they are.

My theory is that the House is split right down the middle. And the Republicans gain 2 Senate seats.

 

Democrat voter turnout in Mid Term elections tends to be low, and their constant circus act seem to be pushing Moderates away.

 

More people turned out to vote for Hillary in the last election than anyone not named Obama  in the last 40 years. That's in percentage terms. In absolute terms more people voted for Hillary in the last election than anyone not named Obama period. 

 

 

It's "October Surprise", and they have already been played. Anything that happens now is called a "Hail Mary"... because there is no time for anything to take root and grow controversy.And lastly, don't underestimate the November Surprise and its impact on still undecided voters.

 

 

A "Hail Mary" it is then, but I wouldn't think you to be forgetting the Comey shenanigans.

 

offcourse for something like that it is now too late.

Dems win the House, GOP keeps the Senate, and my Governor is defeated

Mid terms do have a low turnout but this is Trump era we're living in.

This was a little surprise this morning. It doesn't mean much, but it could be an indicator. Rasmussen came out with their final Generic Congressional poll today, and have called Republicans +1... this could be a significant sign because last week it was Democrats +3. This means they have seen a measurable shift. I won't hold my breath on it though.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_nov05

In absolute terms more people voted for Hillary in the last election than anyone not named Obama period.

… And... she lost.

forgetting the Comey shenanigans.

The Comey shenanigans lasted from July to election day, and that was because it's really hard to white wash the numerous years of crimes from an obvious criminal.

and my Governor is defeated

Who is your Governor? Scott Walker?

Well in terms of guilty verdicts, 1 person did indeed trump the other...

First states are coming in... good luck to everyone!