Blade 619

Shit's getting warm here. I suspect you're right Imran. It's demonstrating exponential growth, so the number will be about 4x higher than the confirmed cases as an absolute minimum.

I mean... we are all expost to 4 routine corona viruses, the 2 historic "dangerous" ones were MERS and SARS. It was supposedly a bat if I recall correctly? The infection rate isn't a huge deal. Many will be minimally symptomatic. It's hardly a death sentence. Pragmatically it might lead to nature the culling of the infirm 60+ population, which will hopefully put the UK right wing out of action.

Not really. Flu season isn't a fixed window. In a good year you might only see a winter increase of 2-3 times the summer influenza like illness load. If you're in a bad season you may look at 15 times. IF you're in a 1916-1918 style season then... well... tell your >70 relatives you love them. Yes, obviously the more people it infects the more people that will die from it. As for medical staff, no healthcare system has the reserves of trained staff required to deal with a true pandemic ILI. In a reasonable worst case scenario you're looking at 20-25% of the workforce off sick at the peak. Health care workers may be higher than that due to high levels of viral load exposure prior to effective vaccination. This would lead to either bed closures in hospitals or increasing the workload on staff who would end up providing close to emergency only care and very strict criteria as to who would be admitted to a hospital etc. For those who don't know I am a doctor in a large emergency department in the UK. We have many anxious patients a day coming to us convinces they were near a foreign person who sneezed and they might be dying. The media panic along is nearly breaking the system, hell only knows what it'll be like if shit actually hits the fan. Ultimately many people will catch this illness and be unaware they caught it or think it's a normal cold. Those who die will likely be the old people. Considering the western world is heading towards a population crisis of too many old people and no young people willing to take care of them... well... you can make your own mind up as to how that sentence could end. re: CC's comment on compatibility, I suspect it is largely driven by it not being hugely different from existing well circulated corona viruses.

The Corvid-19 virus is completely blown out of proportion. In Wuhan it has infected about 77,000 people (25th of Feb). Now don't forget,t hat is simply those who bothered to go to a doctor, many will have had a fever / headache / sore throat and just sat it out at home like they would any other cold. Wuhan as 11m people. So roughly 0.7% of people get sick enough to go to the hospital. The death rates in the >80's is the highest at 14.8%. About the same as most seasonal flus. In the population that affects most of our members (20 to 50) you're looking at death rates at around 0.2-0.4% as you progress up the age brackets. No one who has presented to hospital under the age of 9 has died. As a rough guideline, if you're over 80 your chances of either not getting it or getting it and surviving the Corvid-19 even in Wuhan is 99.897%. under 40... 99.9986%. By contrast in the USA alone in 2018 100 people a day were killed on the roads, and let's be fair, that's in a country with a pretty low rate of deaths per billion vehicle miles. Very few people are sat watching the news worried they might die driving to work tomorrow. There are 4 versions of the corona virus which are part of the annual "common cold" virus set. Corona virus = tedious media over load to avoid discussing anything actually interesting... Much like Ebola. How many hours of fox news was dedicated to ebola? How many people in the USA died from it?

Welcome back!

Politics is very toxic in the UK atm.

False... I had to Google what that was to be sure. TNP is married

Mobile gaming? I feel dirty...

Congrats!

Sometimes you just have to play the game... even if everyone knows it's bollocks.

True TNP owns a boat / kayak / canoe (some kind of water transport)

True TNP is the wrong side of 30?

mhmm... 3.14

Looks like a fun holiday.

Haha, welcome, I've neverly done that several times. I once hit 22 days when you were DELETED at 20 days xD.

Depends on the pussy cat. TNP has a degree

True. TNP knew that North Koreans have the lowest after erect penis length at 3.8 inches? https://www.worlddata.info/average-penissize.php

True TNP prefers whiskey to gin

some

Wooo!

False TNP has a significant allergy.

False - no opinion TNP has checked their junk for bumps recently

Yes... I read it back in 1976. That's when it was still fiction. Preach

Welcome back! Masked to aid admissions.

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