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[TW-06] Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix Mafia - Mafia Win!

Harry Potter Order of the Phoenix Mafia

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#641
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#642
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Auror = cop? Can we get a confirmation on that, because I'm not familiar with the whole Harry Potter jargon. 


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#643
LordSunday

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Auror = cop? Can we get a confirmation on that, because I'm not familiar with the whole Harry Potter jargon. 

 

Yes Auror = cop. I'll post more later today


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#644
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Auror = cop? Can we get a confirmation on that, because I'm not familiar with the whole Harry Potter jargon. 


http://harrypotter.wikia.com/wiki/Auror


How did the cop die when we have a doctor? Rhizo, Did you protect KC?

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#645
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I protected him, so not sure how they got the kill since didn't we already kill the Strongman.  They must have a RB ability is the only thing I can assume from that.  


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#646
Finster Baby

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Good kill on kitkat.

Still wondering why your protection was blocked Rhizo.
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#647
FS108

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who knows can Rhizo be the bad one of the bad guys


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#648
Rhizoctonia

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Good kill on kitkat.

Still wondering why your protection was blocked Rhizo.


Because the doctor was exposed? It was pretty obvious who I was gonna save. I just figured I would be killed last night because they knew I would protect him, but since we had a JOAT maybe they did

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#649
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Ok - lessee here.

Chaplain of Death: I have no idea, really.
Finster Baby: Town - RC Hagrid, 2-shot Roleblocker. I used my 2nd shot on KevinH last night, no result.
FS108: Was neighbor with MK and WP. Could potentially be scum, but I give him 60% town for now.
KevinH: Lean scum based on inactivity, but only a bit, as if he had a night role I suspect he would have run with it and I'd have blocked him.
LordSunday: Town - Investigated by cop, was framed by KitKat.
Lyner: Lean town. He's been scum hunting, led wagon on KitKat
Rhizoctonia: Town. RC Cop. I believe him.
SeaBeeGipson: Not sure. Lean scum, based on posts and voting, but could flip flop.
Wolfpacks: Town - Investigated by cop
Yehom: I have no idea, really.

So based on 4to 5 scum, and 2 dead, the remaining scum are between CoD, KevinH, SBG and Yehom. My educated guess is 2 or 3 of those 4 are scum.

Not ready to FOS yet.

Also, I will likely need to be replaced. I leave for vacation on Saturday and won't have much access.
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#650
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Lynch of Kitkat

 

Kitkat16 (6): Lyner, Finster Baby, Rhizoctonia, Yehom, SeaBeeGipson, King Cankles

 

 

Those who didn't vote:

 

Chaplain of Death

FS108

Wolfpacks

KevinH

 

 

 

2 of the 4 that didn't vote are the neighbors, who I still believe are likely town.  Though FS108 made off the wall remarks that didn't make sense yesterday, but still think he's likely town as I expect there was 2 town Neighbors and 1 scum and we got the scum.

 

My guess is we have 2 out of 4 total scum, that leaves 2 that didn't vote.  Those are certainly under my radar.  Though scum could of jumped on the wagon when it was gone that way.

 

My top suspect is Kevin.  He roleclaimed near the end of the day with a role that's easy for a scum to claim, and a role I really doubt is in the game, a backup Doctor.  


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#651
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That's right, Yehom and SBG voted for KitKat.

That does narrow it down a bit, and gives those 2 more town cred in my opinion.
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#652
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Ok - lessee here.

Chaplain of Death: I have no idea, really.
Finster Baby: Town - RC Hagrid, 2-shot Roleblocker. I used my 2nd shot on KevinH last night, no result.
FS108: Was neighbor with MK and WP. Could potentially be scum, but I give him 60% town for now.
KevinH: Lean scum based on inactivity, but only a bit, as if he had a night role I suspect he would have run with it and I'd have blocked him.
LordSunday: Town - Investigated by cop, was framed by KitKat.
Lyner: Lean town. He's been scum hunting, lead wagon on KitKat
Rhizoctonia: Town. RC Cop. I believe him.
SeaBeeGipson: Not sure. Lean scum, based on posts and voting, but could flip flop.
Wolfpacks: Town - Investigated by cop
Yehom: I have no idea, really.

So based on 4to 5 scum, and 2 dead, the remaining scum are between CoD, KevinH, SBG and Yehom. My educated guess is 2 or 3 of those 4 are scum.

Not ready to FOS yet.

Also, I will likely need to be replaced. I leave for vacation on Saturday and won't have much access.

 

 

I RC doctor, not cop fyi

 

Also, you bring up an interesting point.  I have believed you are town, and if I go off that, that means Kevin likely isn't scum if you're telling the truth you RB'd him.  I except town to have a Ninja (has every game), and the only scenario that I can think of on how my protection wouldn't of worked is I was RB'd.  So, if we are going off the idea there is 2 scum left, if you RB'd Kevin and he was the ninja, no kill would happen, if he was the person who RB'd me, then my action would of went through and no kill would of happened. 

 

So that leaves a few scenario's

 

1.  Kevin isn't scum

2.  There's more then 2 more scum and you RB'd the scum who didn't do the kill or stop my action

3.  You're lying about your role and are scum

 

Why did you pick Kevin?  Just curious, as he did RC, though as I stated, I'm not sold on his backup doctor role.

 

So that leaves me with you're both town or you're both scum and this was a last ditch effort with things not going your way to try to eliminate you both from suspicion and put it elsewhere.  What worries me in this scenario is not really you, but the fact you're not linked to Kevin who just a post before was my number 1 suspect.  It's worrisome a bit.

 

Unless someone has another idea how my protection couldn't of worked, the only one I can think of with the strongman gone is a RB ability.  So again, if you RB'd Kevin and he was scum, there shouldn't of been a kill if there's 2 scum left, because you would of either blocked the ninja or the person who prevented my kill.  


but the fact you're now linked to Kevin who just a post before was my number 1 suspect.

 

My sentence was meant to say now instead of not, can't edit so posting correction here


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#653
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So those who have yet to RC anything.

 

CoD

Yehom

Lyner

 

 

Recent ones from end of yesterday

 

Kevinh - Nurse, backup role if doctor is killed

SBG - Hider

 

Both Kevin and SBG's roles are easy for a scum to use tbh.  

 

I need to look back and see interactions as well with Kitkat and others.

 

Though I believe LS for time being, so far everyone has had a role.  Though there very well could be a VT, it seems like a pretty role mass game.  

 

Lyner has been on my radar for awhile, but gains some town points starting the lynch of Kitkat.  I said that at least one of the people adamantly trying to defend the kill on Isocialism was a scum trying to gain town points as they knew he was town, and I was right with Kitkat.  Would 2 scum do the same thing?  Not sure, but as I type right now Lyner has gained some town points in last day.  Though he still tried to help Kitkat force a RC from me near end of the day.  


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#654
LordSunday

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Though I believe LS for time being, so far everyone has had a role. Though there very well could be a VT, it seems like a pretty role mass game.

 

If you're insinuating you still think I may be scum, then you're trying to say that scum has both a tailor and framer. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think I'm pretty much on the confirmed list. Speaking of, I agree with the lists above about who the confirmed townies are versus not.

 

Yesterday I started with my suspicion divided between Yehom and KevinH. I didn't vote, but that was because I didn't want the day to end early though it already had. Today I'm going to wait to hear from these two before I get too ahead of myself. If there are only 2 scum left and Kevin was one, then we either shouldn't have had a kill or Rhizo shouldn't have had a fail protecting KC.


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The differance between IRON and some rag tag alliance is the fact that we will fight with no reguard to our own nations. Putting the greater good of the whole before ourselves. Victory for all or they will have to fight us to the last point of infa in the last IRON nation. Every so often someone(s) will come around and exemplifie this. Living up to the IRON Values. It gives me great pleaser to baptize three of IRON's up and comers.

LordSunday, you have been Baptized in Fire and Blood and Emerged as IRON!


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#655
Rhizoctonia

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Though I believe LS for time being, so far everyone has had a role. Though there very well could be a VT, it seems like a pretty role mass game.

 

If you're insinuating you still think I may be scum, then you're trying to say that scum has both a tailor and framer. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think I'm pretty much on the confirmed list. Speaking of, I agree with the lists above about who the confirmed townies are versus not.

 

Yesterday I started with my suspicion divided between Yehom and KevinH. I didn't vote, but that was because I didn't want the day to end early though it already had. Today I'm going to wait to hear from these two before I get too ahead of myself. If there are only 2 scum left and Kevin was one, then we either shouldn't have had a kill or Rhizo shouldn't have had a fail protecting KC.

 

 

 

I stand corrected.  I wasn't insinuating you were scum, just that wasn't sure.  But as you point out, since you did come up with two different results and we now have removed the framer I would agree you're confirmed town since scum wouldn't have both a framer and tailor.  

 

I want to hear from Kevin as well.  Like I mentioned in first post today, he was my first thought for scum, but now with FB's reveal it makes it impossible for him to be scum unless there's a 3rd scum or both him and FB are both.

 

Going off the idea that FB is saying the truth which means Kevin is town likely, we have at least 1 scum who was part of lynch of Kitkat, as that only leaves the 2 neighbors and CoD who didn't, so CoD imo is the only one who didn't vote that has the possibility of being scum (not saying he for sure is however). 

 

So my confirmed town:

 

Me

FS108

LS

Wolfpacks

 

Only counting confirmed, we have a 1/3rd chance of picking right today not calculating anything else into the number.


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#656
LordSunday

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Ok - lessee here.

Chaplain of Death: I have no idea, really.
Finster Baby: Town - RC Hagrid, 2-shot Roleblocker. I used my 2nd shot on KevinH last night, no result.
FS108: Was neighbor with MK and WP. Could potentially be scum, but I give him 60% town for now.
KevinH: Lean scum based on inactivity, but only a bit, as if he had a night role I suspect he would have run with it and I'd have blocked him.
LordSunday: Town - Investigated by cop, was framed by KitKat.
Lyner: Lean town. He's been scum hunting, led wagon on KitKat
Rhizoctonia: Town. RC Cop. I believe him.
SeaBeeGipson: Not sure. Lean scum, based on posts and voting, but could flip flop.
Wolfpacks: Town - Investigated by cop
Yehom: I have no idea, really.

So based on 4to 5 scum, and 2 dead, the remaining scum are between CoD, KevinH, SBG and Yehom. My educated guess is 2 or 3 of those 4 are scum.

Not ready to FOS yet.

Also, I will likely need to be replaced. I leave for vacation on Saturday and won't have much access.

 

So based off what you we just mentioned and discussed, I would say these are the most likely lynch options for today:

 

CoD

Lyner

SBG

Yehom

 

Given the reveal that KitKat was indeed a framer and that KC was indeed the cop, that confirms WP without a doubt.

Technically, I would say that means the only 100% beyond-a-shadow-of-a-doubt towns are him and I.

Those who have RCed with no counter and are thus in the very high town percentile (80%+ chance of town) are Rhizo and FB.

FS gets town points because of his neighbor role and we already found the scum among the neighbors. There's a chance that there could've been 2 neighbor scums, and with WP confirmed that means if it is that way he'd have to be the scum. On D2 when that entire event unfolded keep in mind both FS and MK were on WP's wagon. Scum team perhaps? Unlikely, but that's why I hesitate to confirm town him.

Kevin is on hold because of the events of last night (Finster's block)


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The differance between IRON and some rag tag alliance is the fact that we will fight with no reguard to our own nations. Putting the greater good of the whole before ourselves. Victory for all or they will have to fight us to the last point of infa in the last IRON nation. Every so often someone(s) will come around and exemplifie this. Living up to the IRON Values. It gives me great pleaser to baptize three of IRON's up and comers.

LordSunday, you have been Baptized in Fire and Blood and Emerged as IRON!


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#657
Lyner

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SBG who did you target last night?

Also, anyone got anything from last night?

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#658
LordSunday

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Also, anyone got anything from last night?

 

I had a dream that I was hiking Mount Everest and then disapparated when there was an avalanche (lmao)


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The differance between IRON and some rag tag alliance is the fact that we will fight with no reguard to our own nations. Putting the greater good of the whole before ourselves. Victory for all or they will have to fight us to the last point of infa in the last IRON nation. Every so often someone(s) will come around and exemplifie this. Living up to the IRON Values. It gives me great pleaser to baptize three of IRON's up and comers.

LordSunday, you have been Baptized in Fire and Blood and Emerged as IRON!


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#659
SeaBeeGipson

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I didn't target anyone last night.
I didn't fear id be targeted as scum have their hands full with a cop and doctor. I view my role was fairly pointless. The only benefits it has is the somewhat confirmation ability it can have if I don't die and I can hide myself if I'm targeted.
I honestly didn't want to risk hiding behind the wrong person and ending up dead. Hiding behind WP would've been pointless as I already confirmed him in my mind and neither of us i felt would've been a target.
Hope my thought process makes sense. This is a very new role for me.

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#660
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I got nothing. was a little suspicious of kitkat since his activity shifted so heavily but honestly wasn't sure. I can claim if thats what you guys really want but we've pushed the "no mass roleclaiming" rule to the breaking point and beyond in this game with the amount of random claiming that has taken place. As for moving forward, I'm honestly surprised by the revelation that Kevin is town considering how inactive hes been. Leaves me wondering about Lyner and Yehom, though I know I'm likely high on peoples lists as well. 



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