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[KH-19]The Last Jedi Mafia, Town Wins

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Is there any reason to keep the day going? Also, I am not sure of the latest vote count.

 

The main reason would be to think what to do next. What would you do if Jazzy didn't come out and told the news? Would you just end the day without voting on anyone? This is not a pro town play.

The reason for not ending the day early would be to see how everyone reacts to the day's events so far and push those who haven't responded to respond. Particularly those who haven't commented on Rafay's defense.

 

@Rhizo - What do you make of Rafay's defense?

 

 

 

Unofficial Vote count:

Rafay (5): Jazzy95, Lachiton, Robert2424, LordSunday, The Warrior

Yehom (0):  

Canik (0):

Brewersalliance (0):

Jazzy95 (0): 

LordSunday (0):

The Warrior (0):

Rhizoctonia (0):

Samus (0):

Robert2424 (0):

Ali bin Turban (0):

Kitkat16 (0):

Sister Midnight (0):

Lachiton (0):

 

No Lynch (0): 

 

Not voting: Rhizoctonia, Ali bin Turban, Kitkat16, Yehom, Rafay, Sister Midnight, Canik, Samus, Brewersalliance, 

 

With 14 alive, it takes 8 to lynch, or 4 at deadline.

Deadline is Saturday, March 3, at 07:00 EST.

 

It's rather irrelevant to continue on Rafay.  I already replied on him being outed.  I don't know what you plan to get from hearing people's opinion of his defense, anyone who has played this game more then once knows he's lying.  But since you ask

 

His defense isn't a defense.  I'm honestly surprised he even posted, and I give him credit for at least trying, but I wouldn't had wasted my time to even reply if I was him.  It would be absolutely stupid of Jazzy to come out with such information if it's untrue.  Jazzy gains nothing from lying about this.  Let's assume he's lying, he proceeds to get Rafay lynched to then get himself lynched tomorrow when Rafay pops up town.  There's no benefit for Jazzy to do so if he was scum/werewolves/SK to fake such a claim at this point in the game.  

 

He also claimed Yoda, for which Ali claims to be.  It's been confirmed that Ali is who he says he is with reloading Robert last night, so it's safe to say he's town.  So he shot himself in the foot a second time.

 

Normally I'd say, maybe look at a role that could cause Rafay to come up as SK (framer or something, not sure if there's such a role based on the setup of Kevin's game), but given that he claimed a name that Ali is also claiming, I don't forsee the point in even thinking about an alternate scenario that could of happened.   It seems Rafay took a shot in the dark on a fake RC name, and he picked a name that someone was assigned and thus failed at it.  I'm surprised he wasn't supplied a fake name to RC as by mod, which makes me wonder if Scum/Werewolves were given alternate names to use or not.  We haven't lynched a scum/werewolves to test it, the only deaths of either of them have been at night.  

yeah I am a little shocked on the yoda claim to be honest.  star wars has hundreds of names to chose from.  Yoda is extremely well known and a major character so the odds of yoda not being in use would probably be pretty low.  If I was Rafay I would have probably claimed Chelli Lona Aphra as my name lol

 

the name claim mishap pretty much drives in the final nail imo

The name claim was foolish on Rafay's part. It's unfortunate for him that the shot in the dark he took turned out to be ABT's name since ABT is now essentially confirmed to be who he claims which just makes Rafay's defense all the more unbelievable.

 

I took a look back through the list of roles for the game just in case but did not immediately see a role that could doctor the result of Jazzy's investigation of Rafay. Granted, I am not familiar with some of the more obscure roles listed but it didn't appear that there was anything to falsify that result.

 

Sorry Rafay.

Honestly though I don't really see the point of really continuing the day just for continuing the day. Rafay is already well and truly buried and nobody is stupid enough to defend him since his only alignment is with himself, because he most likely is the SK. Rafay is the only logical lynch, nobody else is probably going to stick their necks out now to put pressure on other people, because their defense is easy: focus on the dead man Rafay. I honestly believe that if we aren't going to spend the time we have useful anyway, might as well speed up the game, end the day earlier, let the PR's do their things and start a new day with more information. It's pointless to continue the day if nobody is going to participate and not participating is easily detectable. This is not me rushing things, it's keeping it alive for the most part, because I can't see town doing this dance for another week and a half. 

Um, some people are saying AbT is confirmed town now. Unless I'm missing something he's only confirmed 1-shot reloader at the moment. But yes, he is very likely town.

​@KevinH - does no mass roleclaim also mean no mass name claim?

 

 

Unless I'm missing something he's only confirmed 1-shot reloader at the moment.


​Dunno why I said 1-shot, I guess because I was thinking of him reloading 1-shots.

​About ending the day early: I might be down for ending it a little early if no discussion is happening but it's still far too early IMO. 

@Yehom- There is more reason than that to not want a day to end early.

 

Rafay is now at L-1. I do not want to see the day end yet because I am waiting on clarification to a question that I asked Kevin. I am going to unvote for right now until I get an answer from the mod.

 

For the record: I will be re-voting for Rafay today because I believe he is the serial killer and needs to go. My unvote is only temporary to keep the day from ending before Kevin responds.

 

Unvote.

 

I urge at least one other person to temporarily unvote for the time being so that the day doesn't end just yet.

Honestly though I don't really see the point of really continuing the day just for continuing the day. Rafay is already well and truly buried and nobody is stupid enough to defend him since his only alignment is with himself, because he most likely is the SK. Rafay is the only logical lynch, nobody else is probably going to stick their necks out now to put pressure on other people, because their defense is easy: focus on the dead man Rafay. I honestly believe that if we aren't going to spend the time we have useful anyway, might as well speed up the game, end the day earlier, let the PR's do their things and start a new day with more information. It's pointless to continue the day if nobody is going to participate and not participating is easily detectable. This is not me rushing things, it's keeping it alive for the most part, because I can't see town doing this dance for another week and a half. 

You can always gain more information via a longer day phase. It cannot hurt the town by continuing a day phase. The only reason to do it faster if we are sure he's the Last scum. hence to finish the game. Sure, power roles are going to gather info a night. Not all townies have power roles, and your assuming there are multiple power townies. Could entirely be a miss and we are back to square 1 when we could gather a little more information to help in the following days. But alas, you've pushed other people, and kit kat and brewer just went with it in a rather lazily way. Kit Kat didn't even put words into his post. Me and TW's words must of fallen on deaf ears. 

I have received the clarification that I was seeking so I will now re-vote for Rafay today.

 

Vote: Rafay

 

 

And now for the reason I didn't want the day to end early. I am General Leia Organa, a Town Cop.

 

In this game my role would return a "Guilty" result to me on an investigation of a player that is mafia aligned and "Not Guilty" to anyone who is not mafia aligned.

 

-On night 1, SBG investigated Brewers and found him to be "Not Guilty".

-On night 2, SBG investigated Samus and found him to be "Not Guilty".

-On night 3, I investigated Rhizoctonia and found him to be "Guilty".

 

Now, a few things to note about these results:

 

-A "Not Guilty" result does not 100% mean that Brewers and Samus are town. A werewolf, alien, or serial killer would appear as "not guilty" to my investigation. There also could be a mafia Godfather in play which of course would return a "not guilty" result to me. So in theory either Brewers or Samus could be a werewolf, a serial killer, or the mafia godfather. Having said that, I doubt it right now. Both have roleclaimed previously and I think they are probably both town.

 

-A "Guilty" result on Rhizoctonia is almost certainly indicative of his alignment as mafia. The exception would be if my investigation result was somehow doctored but there is no framer role listed for this game so I believe Rhizo is most likely mafia. The only other possibility I can see is if Rhizo is a miller and therefore investigated as guilty. If Rhizo is a miller though it was foolish for him to not roleclaim immediately as a miller so that the town knew up front.

 

Either way, lynching Rhizoctonia tomorrow is in the town's best interest. Best case scenario is that he is mafia. Worst case scenario is that he is a town miller. Even in the worst case scenario though the potential reward outweighs the risk in lynching Rhizo tomorrow.

 

Here is the reason I am choosing to come out with this information today:

 

With 21 players in the game, given the normal rule of thumb of ~25% of players being anti-town, it is likely that there originally existed a total of 5-6 anti-town players. This would probably mean 2-3 mafia, 2 werewolves, and a serial killer. 

 

Or there could possibly be a 7th anti-town player giving us 3 mafia, 3 werewolves, and 1 serial killer as ABT suggested. This setup is possible given the roles we've seen thus far, especially since town has had a lot of specialized investigative roles revealed (JOAT, Seer, Cop of all trades, and my role as Town Cop). 7 potential scum is a lot of anti-town players. If we assume it's 7 anti-town total than that probably means the following:

 

-2 mafia are dead (VGM and iSoc) which would in theory leave 1 mafia player alive -- Rhizoctonia

-1 werewolf is dead (MK) which would leave either 1 or 2 werewolves alive depending on the beginning number

-1 serial killer (Rafay) is about to be lynched today

 

With 2 "mafia" dead and there likely to only be 3 "mafia" in the game, my role essentially becomes useless if Rhizo is indeed the last mafia member since only mafia will return guilty results to me. I wanted to make sure that this information was all available to the town before I could potentially be night killed.

 

In case I am killed at night, my recommendation to the town is to lynch Rhizoctonia tomorrow. If he is the last mafia member that will mean that moving forward there should only be 1 kill per night from the werewolf faction since the serial killer (Rafay) will already be dead too.. unless there is some other night killing role. That will leave the town vs the remaining 1 or 2 werewolves and should have us in a great position to win the game.

Why is the Warrior dictating what the town should ans shouldn't do? Why does his role claim have more value than mine? Is this a cult of personality thing going on.

 

 

Vote: The Warrior. 

Why is Rafay OMGUS voting and denying actual information while giving easily fabricated information and claiming a name already taken by a presumed townie?

 

Oh yeah.. anti-town player and all. Yoda, you are not.

And just so we're on the same page Rafay, dictating would mean that I have full authority to force my will on the town. I am recommending a course of action, not dictating one.

Wowsers. I’m glad I delayed voting because this is important info. The game just got more interesting. I’m curious to hear what Rhizo has to say for himself.

 

In terms of town composition, I think it is mor likely that there are three werewolves than two, simply because I think Kevin likes balance 3 scum, 1 sk, 3 wolves has a nice balance.

Why is the Warrior dictating what the town should ans shouldn't do? Why does his role claim have more value than mine? Is this a cult of personality thing going on.

 

 

Vote: The Warrior. 

A totally agre, we won't let TW dictate us what to do!!

 

Vote: The Warrior

 

...oh wait...

 

unvote

 

luuuuul . Rafay, you're the best. Just like some cartoonish evil character :P. But still...you must die :fighting0002:

As for the Rhizo, there's not much he can tell.

 

If he's indeed a Miller, he knew the risk and should have RCed before he was investigated. Now it's to late and since we wouldn't be able to to verify such claim our best option would be to lynch him anyway. And that's what we should do on D4.

What we're standing on now is:

 

No doubt about being a town:

Robert2424 - RC'ed and confirmed by Kevinh

Ali bin Turban - RC'ed and confirmed by Robert
Samus - RC'ed and confirmed by TW

Brewersalliance - confirmed by TW (and there's no werewolf role with his ability)

 

Probably town (but still not 100% sure):

Jazzy95 - there's still possibility for him to be Werewolf FBI Agent

The Warrior - there's still possibility for him to be Werewolf Cop

 

Most probably werewolf is hiding here:

Canik
Kitkat16
Lachiton
LordSunday
Sister Midnight
Yehom

 

Scum:

 

Rafay
Rhizoctonia

 

Now let's make some assumptions:

1. We take out Rafay on D4, on N4 we lose 2 town.

2. We start D5 with 11, we take out Rhizo. On N5 we lose 1 town.

3. We start D6 with 7 town, 2 scum

 

At that point we can make 2 mislynches, so assuming TW and Jazzy are indeed town we need to know the identities of at least 2 more townies out of those 6 unknown ppl and we can lynch the rest even in the random order and still win.

  • Author

 

"I know what you're going to say. I changed my hair." -General Leia Organa

 

Mass name-claiming is fine.

 

Vote count:

Rafay (6): Jazzy95, Lachiton, LordSunday, Kitkat16, Brewersalliance, The Warrior,

The Warrior (1): Rafay,

Yehom (0):  

Canik (0):

Brewersalliance (0):

Jazzy95 (0): 

LordSunday (0):

Rhizoctonia (0):

Samus (0):

Robert2424 (0):

Ali bin Turban (0):

Kitkat16 (0):

Sister Midnight (0):

Lachiton (0):

 

No Lynch (0): 

 

Not voting:  Rhizoctonia, Ali bin Turban, Yehom, Sister Midnight, Canik, Samus, Robert2424,   

 

With 14 alive, it takes 8 to lynch, or 4 at deadline.

Deadline is Saturday, March 3, at 07:00 EST.

What we're standing on now is:

 

No doubt about being a town:

Robert2424 - RC'ed and confirmed by Kevinh

Ali bin Turban - RC'ed and confirmed by Robert

Samus - RC'ed and confirmed by TW

Brewersalliance - confirmed by TW (and there's no werewolf role with his ability)

 

Probably town (but still not 100% sure):

Jazzy95 - there's still possibility for him to be Werewolf FBI Agent

The Warrior - there's still possibility for him to be Werewolf Cop

 

Most probably werewolf is hiding here:

Canik

Kitkat16

Lachiton

LordSunday

Sister Midnight

Yehom

 

Scum:

 

Rafay

Rhizoctonia

 

Now let's make some assumptions:

1. We take out Rafay on D4, on N4 we lose 2 town.

2. We start D5 with 11, we take out Rhizo. On N5 we lose 1 town.

3. We start D6 with 7 town, 2 scum

 

At that point we can make 2 mislynches, so assuming TW and Jazzy are indeed town we need to know the identities of at least 2 more townies out of those 6 unknown ppl and we can lynch the rest even in the random order and still win.

 

Keep in mind TW stated he only receives guilty for mafia, not werewolves. That means even those investigated inno by him could still potentially be scum

 

Right now the only confirmed towns are Robert and AbT

As for the Rhizo, there's not much he can tell.

 

If he's indeed a Miller, he knew the risk and should have RCed before he was investigated. Now it's to late and since we wouldn't be able to to verify such claim our best option would be to lynch him anyway. And that's what we should do on D4.

ABT.

 

Tonight can you please use your action on me please.

I won't say anything now, but you won't regret it. :)

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