Vote: Brewers
It is unlike him to suggest a no lynch! That's an obvious scum tell
Vote: Brewers
It is unlike him to suggest a no lynch! That's an obvious scum tell
Once upon a time there was a lovely princess. But she had an enchantment upon her of a fearful sort, which could only be broken by Love's first kiss. She was locked away in a castle guarded by a terrible fire breathing dragon. Many brave knights had attempted to free her from this dreadful prison, but none prevailed. She waited in the dragon's keep in the highest room of the tallest tower for her true love and true love's first kiss.
So what's the strategy?
From a glance it seems that VTs should draw attention from scums to buy time for JoAT
And JoATs should only RC if they caught all scums?
Did any of them try no-lynching on D1? No, because it's generally a poor strategy. You're just handing scum a free kill to start the game and wasting an entire day for no reason, and you don't really get anything out of it except playing around with the odds. Plus you're basically dooming one player to not even getting a chance to play, which isn't really fair. It's the same thing as allowing mafia to kill on N0, it's just generally bad form.
There's not much downside to lynching someone today. There's a 20% chance that we actually find a mafia, and even if we mislynch, we still get to start establishing voting patterns which is going to be crucial in this game. Obviously there's the risk of accidentally forcing a JOAT to RC, and of course there's an 80% chance that we'll mislynch generally, but the benefits outweigh those risks IMO.
Brewersalliance: Lover of the Pack and Beer. Hater of the Bears and Cheese.
Nukes Delivered for IRON-31
Nukes Taken for IRON-44
You are bresky, Brewsky, Brewers, stud-muffin, Mr. Sexypants, and that cute guy over in IA.
TO: Brewersalliance | FROM: SeaBeeGipson
TYPE: Nuclear Missile Strike | DATE: 8/18/2017 9:07:26 AM
Your nation has been attacked with nuclear weapons in a standard nuclear attack by SeaBeeGipson. You lost 488 soldiers, 0 defending tanks, 0 cruise missiles, 1.602 miles of land, 0.000 technology, 103.283 infrastructure, 75% of your aircraft, and 25% of your nuclear vulnerable navy force. In addition to these losses your nation will experience many days of economic devastation.Your clones are dead
(Doom War Damage Rank) 35: Robert2424 - 21 - 67,720.61 - 28,156.05 - 96,651.47
Robert2424 has been Baptized in Fire and Blood and Emerged as IRON!
FoS anyone advocating for a day 1 lynch.
(Doom War Damage Rank) 35: Robert2424 - 21 - 67,720.61 - 28,156.05 - 96,651.47
Robert2424 has been Baptized in Fire and Blood and Emerged as IRON!
I mean, if you think about it the other way around, the numbers are only going to get worse until we start killing scum.
The strategy is not about not hunting scum, it's about waiting for anything, literally anything that could positively confirm who scum is. There is definitely not a 20% chance that we will lynch scum, it's rather much lower. You are forgetting the human aspect of this, scum will talk their way out and we will most definitely end up lynching a townie. Add a NK to that, and we've already lost 2 influential people.
No Lynch is a no-brainer.
Vote: No Lynch
A new signature is currently under construction.
The previous signature caused multiple visual errors to users with different screen resolutions.
We humbly apologize.
Fermandia Inc.
© 2021
Please provide links to all examples that back up the stats.
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
OMGUS!!Oh cool. I'm alive.
VOTE FINSTER
Haven't seen you in forever playing mafia. I feel I should give the IRON Mafia welcome.
Oh cool. I'm alive.
VOTE FINSTER
Haven't seen you in forever playing mafia. I feel I should give the IRON Mafia welcome.
Please provide links to all examples that back up the stats.
Only click if you're Tony Maurice, thanks!
1 user(s) are browsing this forum
1 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users
(it's lonely here by myself)
I added Mafia Mod for you Velocity...Get with a know masked mod and get some training.
Please provide links to all examples that back up the stats.
I dunno where everyone else got them, but if you scroll through the JOAT^2 tournaments on the actual mafiascum forums you probably could find their numbers
To be honest I wasn’t even gonna read, just seeing if all the statisticians would back them up with links lol.
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
i guess i have to take the word and their numbers seem to be about right so i would continue with the no lynch movement which is going in here
I am sure i will not be able to speak with experience in these mafia games as i am new in here but what i can say for a certainty is how much i like to read into people and seeing brewers take a no lynch shows to me that it is in fact important and i do not see any advantage to the scum with a no lynch it seems logical to go for a no lynch
Vote : No lynch
So 11 times out of 11 experienced players choose to lynch, but we're smarter than those noobs and well go no lynch route, is that right?
What do we expect to do tomorrow after todays no lynch? Our joats are no cops. To the contrary, they are very likely to find nothing at all.
Secondly no lynch saves us a guy but does not give us additional day ( wed need two no lynch days for that), so it acctualy give us one less wagon to analyze and robs us of opportunity to eliminate notorious lurkers that will be a pain during upcoming days.
Vote Rafay
Brewersalliance: Lover of the Pack and Beer. Hater of the Bears and Cheese.
Nukes Delivered for IRON-31
Nukes Taken for IRON-44
You are bresky, Brewsky, Brewers, stud-muffin, Mr. Sexypants, and that cute guy over in IA.
TO: Brewersalliance | FROM: SeaBeeGipson
TYPE: Nuclear Missile Strike | DATE: 8/18/2017 9:07:26 AM
Your nation has been attacked with nuclear weapons in a standard nuclear attack by SeaBeeGipson. You lost 488 soldiers, 0 defending tanks, 0 cruise missiles, 1.602 miles of land, 0.000 technology, 103.283 infrastructure, 75% of your aircraft, and 25% of your nuclear vulnerable navy force. In addition to these losses your nation will experience many days of economic devastation.Your clones are dead
Damn..everyone is a mathematician at this point
Sir 11 data points are not stastistically significant
Also we are not that expert
But I also advocate for no lynch
Vote brewers
we have different minds here and we need to use different strategies. You need to stop bamboozling us with statistics. You are scum and lying. You are evil. You should be lynched.
TL;DR I like Iwin90's cookies
And 8 of those 11 times scum won. And town only won two times. So we can try exactly what they did 11 times that lead to overwhelming scum victories or we can try to change the strategy.
I think 11 games is enough evidence to suggest it is a failed strategy. Unless you think our town players are talented enough to overcome scum even tho they couldn't do it in the ship
![]() |
Spam/Relaxation →
Mafia →
[KH-33] Staring Contest 4p MAFIA winsStarted by KevinH , 22 Jul 2024 ![]() |
|
![]()
|
|
![]() ![]() |
Spam/Relaxation →
Mafia →
[KH-32] The One I Cannot Kill Mafia - AbandonedStarted by KevinH , 03 Mar 2024 ![]() |
|
![]()
|
|
![]() ![]() |
Spam/Relaxation →
Mafia →
[KH-31] Empking Mafia TOWN winsStarted by KevinH , 03 Jan 2024 ![]() |
|
![]()
|
|
![]() ![]() |
Spam/Relaxation →
Mafia →
[KH-30] Overturn to Riddler - MAFIA WinsStarted by KevinH , 22 Nov 2023 ![]() |
|
![]()
|
|
![]() ![]() |
Spam/Relaxation →
Mafia →
[KH-30] Overturn to Riddler Mafia Sign-upStarted by KevinH , 14 Nov 2023 ![]() |
|
![]()
|
0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users