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[TW-03] Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets Mafia - Basilisk Wins!!

Harry Potter Chamber of Secrets Mafia 18 Players

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#341
D34THBR1NG3R

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agreed but people should be able to look back, so for my explanation...

 

 

Finster had a townie feeling, and it was my opinion so I decided to share it to see if anyone else felt the same way, but I was only attacked. In light of these affairs I will never be sharing any controversial, semi-controversial, or possibly controversial posts from now on. Yes, it might have seemed suspicious but I explained it and am still confused why it is a topic of discussion. 

 

ALSO I'm not trying to mass role-claim or anything but since I'm getting a feeling all fingers are being pointed at me, when do I say my role, or do I never say it and just wait until I'm lynched or killed?


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#342
Finster Baby

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That's some nifty back pedaling there my friend.

Your comment flew by everyone, myself included. When challenged, you back pedaled again. I read your explanation, and it doesn't hold water.

Now, I don't ever mind being pegged as town. That said, coming out on D1 to say someone other than yourself is def. town is beyond suspicious.

As for a role claim, that's up to you.
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#343
D34THBR1NG3R

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I told you no one thinks it holds water, but that's what an opinion is, something that someone believes. Thus the reason I said I won't share opinions again. As for my role I'm Nearly Headless nick, a ghost... boo!


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#344
KevinH

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Rules against mass role-claiming are meant to prevent players from figuring out a game-breaking strategy which takes the fun of the game away.

 

For instance, If everyone knew each other's roles, a bodyguard could protect a doctor who protects a cop who will then get several investigations while the scum has to try to kill the bodyguard and then the doctor before they can get to the cop.

 

Everybody can claim vanilla townie and it doesn't affect the game.  I would even assume everyone is claiming vanilla townie until something proves different.

 

When someone is close to being lynched, then it is appropriate to role-claim in an attempt to save themselves.  Of course, scum will also fake role-claim if they are close to being lynched so then we have to decide if we believe the role-claim or not.



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#345
Lyner

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So it seems that the stances on Lego's claims are differing, some also missed the point entirely. Some claimed that it is inconclusive that it'll tell us about Lego's alignment.

 

I know scums could be given fake identity, I know scums could be a godfather. But do you think a godfather with fake identity would literally roleclaim at the start of a 18-players game?

 

A Godfather isn't immune to everything. While normal cop can't detect a godfather, Role Cop and Flavor Cop can.

 

So the argument right now isn't simply about whether Lego is scum or town, but specifically:

1. Is Lego the Vanilla Townie just made a bad rookie mistake by roleclaiming too early? Or-

2. is Lego the scum thought that fake claiming early would instead make him look like town and avoid town attention?

 

@AbT, I think his post here is a reply to Kevin's post above. A Basilisk can kill people and nothing can stop it similar to a strongman. So yes he knows his mafia theories. Also another argument is that he was with us last game, he experienced it beforehand that fake claiming is pretty useless and used wrongly can make you look more suspicious(remember KingH). Another trivial point is that I was given Filius as a fake identity by TW last game, what's the chance that it was given as a fake identity again?

 

AbT brought up a good argument that Lego could've fake claimed before consulting with his scum friends(which actually explains a bit on why nobody noticed his roleclaim). But I stand by my opinion that it is a town rookie mistake since it's a really bad scum move(if I were one of his scum friends, I'd tell him to lay low instead of making more sound, for sure).

 

 

Anyway as I promised I'll give my opinion on the remaining players:

1. Canik

He's the most townie out of all players right now imo. He made his position clear, he's supportive of No Lynch on day one but thought that it'd be best for town to pressure people first. Consistent and clear reasoning. Would be better if he actually voted someone before voting no lynch yesterday though.

 

2. CoD

Didn't state whether he support nolynch or lynch on day one, but preferred to lynch if someone is deemed suspicious. Very defensive of Preston. The first is when I critized Preston and the second one is when AbT responded to Preston. The second one is particularly a bit excessive(and hard to read :P). Except for that bit it is very good to be aggressive at day one so bonus points there.

 

3. Preston

Kind of curious that he entirely missed Lego's claim yesterday. Same per usual Preston this game. He's fine with either lynch or no lynch on day 1. Advance notice: I might be biased here. Preston's reasoning in this game has been weak imo. While he comes strong early in the game by calling out people to post, he slowed down his pace during the end of day 1 and today at day 2, only focusing on certain issues(AbT suspecting him, him suspecting me, and Kevin's silent), not minding the fact that Lego or Rafay is potentially being killed yesterday. In fact, he didn't mention them at all. Regarding his vote on me, he didn't even try to push for it. I think he's playing this too safely this time, cop should check on him. @Preston can we have your thoughts on everyone? I haven't seen you posted any this time.

 

4. AbT

Was mafia at last game and played differently this time, could be a tell of town or just changing his scum style. I prefer the former because of his aggresiveness on day one(I think he is the first to start the serious campaign by posting his reasoning instead of gut feelings) which is promptly countered by Preston's. Once again I might be biased since I know his scum behaviour from last game but either way, his reasoning is sound for now.

 

So the ordered and revised townie list: Canik, AbT, iSoc, SM.

 

Point made on Lego and if we have no better suspect, a VT is arguably the safest choice to kill for town.

 

 

@Samus fine, point made if we compare the first two days in the game. :P  You haven't responded about the iSoc vote yesterday though, what's up with that?

 

@Rhizo my point is, it's not that disastrous to the town if Rafay's wagon gained a lot of speed because of scum joining in, because if Rafay turned out town, on the next day we can lock in to the people on the wagon and have at least a 20% chance of hitting scum this time(assuming there are 5 people on the wagon and at least one is scum).

 

 

 



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#346
Samus

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1. Is Lego the Vanilla Townie just made a bad rookie mistake by roleclaiming too early? Or-

 

I was actually randomly thinking about this and going to bring it up.

 

Reason I don't think Lego is scum is because he already admitted TW warned him about role claiming and he seemed apologetic about it: 

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-2#entry873285

 

I acknowledge I broke the rules by role claiming so early. I had no intention of provoking a massclaim. I only wanted to declare that I was in fact town.

 

This could obviously be seen as him trying to cover his steps, but knowing he's new to this game, I would expect it to be more likely that he is just a noob and made a mistake and he is really actually what he says he is.

 

This point alone makes me confident that he is not scum and he's just an overzealous newbie trying to catch scum.

 

Certain players have really been trying to push this agenda of scum on lego, even after his obvious noob mistakes. This is very suspicious to me, why do you want lego out so much? You're dismissing the idea that he could just be an overzealous townie and making mistakes. 

 

@Lyner you're reading too much into that :P. There's nothing suspicious with the iSocialism vote, that's just D1 fluff. I'm against D1 lynching as i've said plenty of times, iSocialism was nowhere near about to be lynched. Reason iSocialism specifically is because he always jokingly reaches for me i.e: http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57843-kh-13-pie-e7-mafia-sign-up-for-those-not-in-harry-potter-mafia/#entry873221

 

My current suspicions are ABT & KevinH.

 

 

Gonna see where this goes, but for now..

 

Vote Ali Bin Turban



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00:48 Fernando[IRON] � I will refer to you as Supreme Overlord Guru Samus

Only I have the baptismal power.

Samus because of your dedicated service to IRON; your high casualty count and aid given your fellow IRONers. I hear by baptize ye in Fire and blood. You rise as IRON!

You may now wear proudly in your Sig "I have been Baptized in Fire and Blood and emerged as IRON."

18:28 %FinsterBaby[IRON] • I'm only afraid of Master Samus.
18:28 %FinsterBaby[IRON] • All powerful root admin
18:29 @onbekende • wussie
18:29 %FinsterBaby[IRON] • he can make you disappear. I've seen it

 

MVP(Mod’s Choice)= Master Samus; I think Master Samus played amazingly for a guy who claims it was his second only mafia game. He never led the town on him and that’s why he deserves this award. He was impressive in manipulating the town that led to the ultimate mafia victory.
 
Player of Mafia; Master Samus/emudevelopment (shared); I think both were instrumental in the town’s defeat. Both were manipulative and deceptive. They clearly came out as pro-town and looked like de-facto town leaders. They led the lynch wagon w/o anyone uncovering their true motives.

Samus, you should be proud that you've helped make an environment where people feel safe enough to share their experiences.


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#347
The Warrior

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Vote Count

 

legoboyvdlp (5): D34THBR1NG3R, Ali bin Turban, Chaplain of Death, Sister Midnight, Mazuurek

Rafay (2): KevinH, Canik

KevinH (2): Preston, iSocialism

Ali bin Turban (1): Samus

D34THBR1NG3R (1): legoboyvdlp

Canik (0):

Chaplain of Death (0):

Finster Baby (0):

1ceCream (0):

iSocialism (0):

Lyner (0):

Mazuurek (0):

Preston (0):

Rhizoctonia (0):

Samus (0):

Sister Midnight (0):

Wolfpacks (0):


No Lynch (1): Wolfpacks

Not voting: Finster Baby, 1ceCream, Lyner, Rafay, Rhizoctonia

 

With 17 alive it takes 9 to lynch or 5 at deadline.
Deadline is 1:00pm CST on Friday, August 19th.


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#348
D34THBR1NG3R

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with all of this being up about Lego I'm currently thinking about switching my vote, not right away of course because I want to be sure but you are right samus, it does look honestly apologetic so I will be mulling over my choice about lyching Lego. Also, since I've clearly had tunnel vision on Lego this entire time, it's only fair I look at other options, which I have not done. Plus, if we do lynch him, and he is town then that will be death by town by lynch and by scum and that would be 3 town gone in 2 days. Not changing my vote just yet, but I'm heavily thinking


The world is a dangerous place. Not because of those who do evil, but because of those who look on and do nothing.


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#349
Finster Baby

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I'm also weighing what Samus said earlier, but not ready to commit to anything.

So my list, in order
1a. Rafay
1b. D34thbr1nger
2a. Ali
2b. Lego
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#350
Lyner

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2 days to go boys, let's get them discussion rolling



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#351
KevinH

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KevinH's SuperTownieAnalysisTM:

0 for meaningless late votes:

Rhizoctonia, Samus, Sister Midnight

 

 

No-lynch was a foregone conclusion at the time of these votes so it's not right to interpret the votes as trying to lynch someone.

However, the fact that they made meaningless votes might be indicative of something in and of itself. Suppose one of the targets later is revealed as scum -- the voters could say that they've been after them all game.



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#352
Chaplain of death

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A Godfather isn't immune to everything. While normal cop can't detect a godfather, Role Cop and Flavor Cop can.

 

Some Godfathers are immune to all investigation. Its up to the mod. 



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#353
Ali bin Turban

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I was getting back and forth thinking what if Lego is a town three times already, but there were to much coincidences I can't explain.

 

- Why would he make such an odd and worthless "townie test" with 1ceCream (mind you all, a person who Lyner claims to have a knowledge about mafia)? Why would those two appear again together on D2 making a clumsy setup on me ?

- Why he's "always" the one who tell us "news" about mafia - first with scum number (accompanied by 1ceCream) then with strongman role (thank you Lyner for explaining that to me, I'm so dense sometimes :P).

 

- Why would Finster constantly talk about how Lego is suspicious

posts http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-3#entry873432

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-5#entry873707

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-7#entry874114

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-10#entry874517

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-15#entry875237)

Is he saying it to Lego or is he sending a message to rest of us "look town I was hunting him"?

Why would he mention he can't decide if he should vote on Rafay or Lego (that last post I've cited), while just few posts later he "forgets" Lego was on his potential scum lists:?

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-15#entry875302

And then luckily soon enough he reminds himself about him:

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-18#entry875719

 

 - Why would Lego say he'd "be surprised if any of the original TW-2 mafia (me, ABT, KingH, and Lyner) were mafia" if he were such well educated mafia player? Coincidentally Lyner comes in to actually confirm Lego due to his claim and also trying to turn discussion about Lego into discussion whether that claim was legit or not. 

 

There might be many coincidences, but there are to many to my liking. But go ahead and convince me it's all string of coincidences and I'll drop Lego. 

Until that, since I don't see more suspicious person Lego keeps my vote. If I'm wrong (which I can be, though I don't believe that) I'll hit a VT (so luckily no PR). If I'm right I'm thinking I'll be able to get few scums with just one swing. Lynching is always a risk, but this time I'd say it's worth risking.


 

A Godfather isn't immune to everything. While normal cop can't detect a godfather, Role Cop and Flavor Cop can.

 

Some Godfathers are immune to all investigation. Its up to the mod. 

 

I agree with CoD. Last time godfather was investigated in TW's game (CN game) by Role Cop, he was immune (returned vanilla). Also Flavor Cop has never been in TW's game (sure he might appear but so far he was not), so let's not pretend that godfather is so vulnerable.



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#354
Rhizoctonia

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I'll be posting my thoughts and vote later tonight.


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#355
Canik

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Rafay still hasn't posted since the very start of the day. No votes yet today. A few active posters may have done things that make us wonder but at least they're active. So I'm going to keep my vote on him keeping him a viable alternative unless something more definitive comes up. I've been burned by my gut too many times.

@Lyner, I'm surprised you rank me #1 town after my accusations towards you D1. If you're trying to butter me up it's not going to work :P. I do give some credit for your analytical efforts though.


 



#356
KevinH

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Total posts since beginning of game: 

Posts Member name
   47 legoboyvdlp
   33 D34THBR1NG3R
   25 Samus
   22 Chaplain of death
   22 Ali bin Turban
   21 Finster Baby
   20 KevinH
   20 Lyner
   18 Sister Midnight
   17 Preston
   17 Canik
   15 Rhizoctonia
   13 Wolfpacks
   13 iSocialism
   10 1ceCream
   10 Mazuurek
    4 Rafay

Note: This may be interpreted as encouragement to lynch.



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#357
Rhizoctonia

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So I have a little time and want to get my thoughts in, so people have the chance to hear my thoughts.  I think a few people have replied to me, and maybe someone asked me a question, I'll look to answer those, but priority for me with the time I have is to get my thoughts in.

 

Lego - After Lyner pointed out his early RC, and mentioning TW warned him about it, I believe his RC.  Let's not forget it's his second game, and his first he didn't last long.  I am not for letting people off the hook just because they're new, but this seems like a rookie move.  I think it was a bold move to do such that early, and though I don't approve of his action, I don't think even Scum would RC that early D1 with something like that.  I doubt Scum would even had time to really talk about and make up a plan like that for him to do how early on it was.  The addition of TW warning him seals it for me....it would be very unlikely he would make up a lie about TW warning him either.

 

D34th - I believe is town.  I think this whole scrap between Lego and him is just two townie's fighting, and two newer members that are looking to go Sherlock Holmes early and reading way too much into things.

 

Lyner - I will likely respond to him on a few of his points hopefully later tonight if I get time, but getting a more townie feel with him.  He started out someone I was keeping a close eye on as a few posts early made him attract my attention (not enough to warrant a vote, or FOS yet), but him bringing up Lego's claim up today on D2 makes me think he's town.  I believe Lego is town, and him bringing it up when I and maybe others missed it or didn't pay attention would not be something a scum would do if Lego is town like I believe.  If he was scum, he wouldn't try to indirectly defend Lego by reminding everyone of his D1 RC when Lego was/is likely a top candidate to be lynched today.

 

Finister - I can't say I've paid as much attention to him as I should.  However his list he just posted contained 2 people I have town vibes from (Lego, D34th), which worries me.  ABT was on his list, and I'm not sold on ABT either way, I have a little bad vibe with him.  Rafay is on the list, but not really due to suspicious behavior, just his lack of playing, dont blame FB for that.

Maz - Hasn't helped, now voted the past two days on people with little to no explanation of a reason.  People have asked him to get involved, comes back with doesn't have anything to help town, yet there are ways to help.  

 

Rafay - Inactive D1, was one of first to comment D2, and haven't heard a peep since.  At this point I dont care anymore, he will get my vote every game D1.  He knows he rarely gets enough votes D1 to lynch him, and then D2 comes and people's attention are put towards people who have commented, and people fear lynching someone D2 forward solely on posts and afraid to mislynch so they go with someone who feels scummy.  Honestly tired of it, at this point I think he just signs up to get wins to his name he doesn't  earn.  Mod's of games should honestly not let him play until he's willing to actually do anything.  This is not a gamestyle, this is legitimate signing up and not playing...and it's every game.  

 

1cecream - Has gone pretty radio silence.  He didn't really supply much on D1 either, very brief posts, but nothing of content.  He also in one post talked about the need to lynch, then every post was repeating no lynch.  I also find his posts contradictory day 1

 

I do suspect Death a bit. Lego voted me to see my reaction, and Death jumped in for some reason, prompting my response which both unvoted, with Lego saying I sounded like a Townie. Death could be starting a bandwagon on me. I personally think that there could be 5, possibly 6 scum.

 

Also, to Town: Lynching is better than not lynching. If we NL, we let mafia get a free kill on us. Even if we lynch one of our own, we still have a chance to hit a scum. NL = 0% hitting scum, scum get a free kill on us in the night. Lynch anyone and we can at least kill a scum. And Death, now that I look at it, I rescind my previous post. 

 

I'm NL until everyone comes up and says something. Want to see if anyone looks scummy.

 

 

Samus, I know that lynching right now would be pretty hard to accurately hunt scum. I know the morals aren't exactly great. Honestly, right now I'm waiting for something scummy. Still NL.

 

I bolded and put the one quote in red.  He literally makes some big statement about how we should lynch...then all posts suddenly after was No Lynch, and he was NL at end of D1.  Like someone in his scum chat told him to do a 180 from what he just said.  Maybe his scum buddy Kevin.

 

Preston - I get a town feel for now.  He's a veteran player, so I know he knows how to play scum well probably as well, but at this point he has more town points for me.  

 

Canik - Nothing real suspicious yet I've picked up on

 

Samus - More quiet this game then last.  When he got poked last game after D2 came and wasn't posting, he was pretty adamant on people and looking to push people...not so much this game.  He has defended Lego which takes him off Radar for now

 

---------------------------------------------------

 

So my feeling is out of the newer guys, Lego, 1cecream, Maz, and D34th...at least 1 is likely scum.  I have taken D34th and Lego out from that as I feel town feel with them, so it leaves Maz and 1cecream.

 

I also feel with 5 votes on Lego who I now feel is town after the RC revelation, I imagine at least 1 of them are scum, so that means D34th, ABT, COD, SM, and Maz.

 

D34th I've taken out so that leaves CoD, Maz, SM, ABT.  

 

Now who I also get a scum vibe from the most is Kevin.  I don't like his analysis as I already stated of giving town points to no lynch guys, I already proved scum hide in that.  I also don't like his vote on Rafay early on, and his response to me about the difference of D1/D2 (I still need to reply to).  He also has looked to really dispute anyone who believes Lego's RC, but not voting him.  Looks to indirectly looking to push a lynch while not being apart of it.  He also tried to misdirect our attention D1.

I will admit others have gained more of my focus and I don't have a good read yet like SM, Canik, wolfpacks, Isocialism, CoD.  Will have to look at them some...with so many it's hard to focus on all, as some gain more attention.

 

My Likely Town People:

 

1.  Lego

2.  D34th

3.  Lyner

4.  Preston

5.  Samus 

 

Moat Suspicious of:

 

1. KevinH

2.  1cecream


Vote:  Kevin


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#358
D34THBR1NG3R

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Thought it over and there's really no reason to continue pushing on Lego, for me at least. He hasn't done anything that would make me suspicious of him since D1 and I see no need on a unhelpful town lynch that would get me killed as well. 

 

 

Unvote: Legoboyvdlp


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Nuked 11 times in the name of IRON!

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#359
Preston

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Downside to an 18-person game is how much effort it takes to do a comprehensive review of the entire game roster. I've spoken at greater length previously about my main suspects - KevinH, Lyner, Lego/D34TH - with side comments about others as they struck my interest with notable posts, but less comprehensive about it. However as everyone seems to be posting full lists and Lyner just pointedly poked me to do so, here is a list of everyone and my notes about them with town/scum impressions as i see it. This is obviously going to end up long, so sorry in advance...

legoboyvdlp - Current vote leader. Claimed early on as vanilla townie, and generally tried very hard to prove himself town on D1 before people got serious. Commented that it was unlikely to get the same scum team again, which is self-serving as last game he was scum. Constant back-and-forth with D34TH. Ultimately said his death could be used to help focus on the people voting for him, which struck me as an odd thing for a townie to say. Kevin supported this Lynch wagon with a "hypothetical" scenario - which is a departure from his usual stats-based posting style - however Kevin's vote is still on Rafay.
Notable question: Samus pointed out Lego said he broke/stretched the massclaim rule by roleclaiming too early, but did he ever actually SAY TW said something about it? Because if TW had to say something, that would almost serve to confirm Lego as town... I dont think he would have commented if Lego's claim was a fakeclaim.
Argument for Lego being scum is that he tried too early to say "I was scum last game so I can't be this game" with his comment about prior game scum, early VT roleclaim, and generally trying to remove himself from being a suspect immediately through 'proving' his towniness.
Argument for Lego being town is that he tried too hard because he was lynched early last game as scum, and that other people have advocated for his lynch while not voting for it themselves - i.e. scummy behavior on part of those who want him lynched, which would paint him as town.

D34THBR1NG3R - Has been focused heavily on Lego from the start. Had a minor slip-up at one point about when Lego had posted,demonstrating his emphasis on trying to get Lego lynched. Had a moment of calling Finster "confirmed town" early on D1. Had a comment on D1 about "If I now vote for Rafay people will think I'm scum for voting right after you said that" - i.e. saying aloud that he was explicitly avoiding doing a scummy thing. Potential explanation would be scum jumping on an existing wagon that seemed to be going somewhere, and was unable or unwilling to back off of it - until just now. His recent abandoning of his Lego focus makes me think he is recognizing the potential shift away from a Lego wagon and he says pointedly it would get himself killed. If he is scum then I suspect Finster is actually town, as the "confirmed town" plug would be to get a townie on his side.

Samus - Has largely stayed quiet, partially on premise of not expecting to survive N1. Not enough to really evaluate, though has had a few relevant points to make which shows some contribution. Just brought up the question about whether Lego was actually reprimanded by TW, which potentially could shift the entire Lego debate. Otherwise difficult to evaluate.

Chaplain of death - Responded frequently to Ali's D1 attacks on me, supporting the responses I gave and generally saying what I had meant in other ways, which helped validate that I was not being unclear in how I was writing. Overall townie feel, if only for that reason and him seeing what I saw.

Ali bin Turban - Started off on D1 casting me as a potential scum on the basis of my having seemed to support Lego, who he strongly feels is scum. Active with detailed posts and analysis, but on D1 he moved beyond just trying to examine me to actively attacking me and trying to turn my words around, almost to the exclusion of Lego whom he said was his initial scum suspect. Eventually backed off after what he claims was a misunderstanding in my words that CoD pointed out. Still looking at him with a slight scum feel due to how hard he was attacking me and stretching to make his case, but he is not my top suspect.

Finster Baby - Less active, but making comments I can agree with. Took notice of D34TH's recent "back pedaling" as he put it. Lyner caught him inconsistent about no-lynch on D1, but given Finster's vote cycling in the prior game I don't find that as odd, strangely. Seems to see Lego as more likely inept town versus scum making a mistake, though earlier on he seemed more to believe Lego was scum based on Lego's D2 reactions. Also FoS'd Ali based on his wall-of-text attacks on me D1. I'm inclined to say town here.

KevinH - Inscrutable as ever, but the few deviations from his stock statistics-based posts show him encouraging lynches that he is not always voting for - Rafay on D1 and Lego on D2 - and votes were indeed cast for those wagons after his input on them. Tried to cast critical opinions on his D1 behavior as "lies", which did not sit well with me either as it felt defensive on his part. My current vote because that kind of manipulation feels scummy to me.

Lyner - Similar to Kevin, encouraged Rafay lynch while keeping his own vote on no-lynch - at a time that no-lynch was by no means certain how the day was going to end. This struck me as the same manipulative scummy move that Kevin was doing, and so he was my D1 vote. On D2 he was quiet at first (as were we all), but he has gotten a little more active recently. On D2 he seems to support Lego being town, claiming Lego's claim was conclusive because it would have been a huge risk for scum. I disagree on it being conclusive. Lyner prompted Kevin for a post about his analysis, etc - prompting/supporting Kevin whom I also find suspicious at this stage.

Sister Midnight - Overall newish and trying, points out her own newness but at least is trying to contribute. Notable actions included voting for Rafay despite saying in her own post how the speed of his wagon building felt strange, seemingly contradicting herself, and a late-D1 vote after no lynch was effectively settled upon. Currently voting for Lego, but hedged her vote by saying she changes her mind a lot.

Preston - Me, elaborating on my thoughts to everyone. Sorry again for the wall of text.

Canik - Overall comes across as town. Seems fairly even-headed, observed/agreed with me about Lyner and Kevin's suspicious activity. Seems to be neutral about Lego at the moment, leaning positive despite Lego seeming to take Canik's response as an attack. Voting Rafay due to inactivity/lurking.

Rhizoctonia - Generally town feel in the sense that he comments on things that also catch my eye and vice versa. Recently pointed out a very interesting contradiction about 1ceCream's D1 behavior. Currently seems to feel Lego and D34TH are both newbies attacking each other, and is voting for Kevin.

Wolfpacks - Currently voting *NO LYNCH*??? Which does not sit right with me at all as it makes no sense on D2, and his unvoting from Legoboy has the flavor of trying to bail from that wagon as public opinion shifts away from that being a 'safe' conclusion. Otherwise had Maz and Legoboy and Rafay as his targets D1, with FOSes on the latter two. I'm actually leaning potential scum on Wolfpacks based on his support for existing popular wagons and backpedaling when lego's wagon support seemed to be wavering.

iSocialism - Currently voting for Kevin, and has been a little quiet. Says he thinks Lego and Rafay may both be town, but Rafay he would have seen lynched yesterday due to being a distraction. Voted Lego on D1 instead of Rafay, because at least Rafay had voted at that point. Overall I think this is town looking for wagons beyond the obvious options being presented, which is a good sign I think.

1ceCream - Active in other threads, quiet here. Same rationale as Mazu to avoid posting due to newness and fear of seeming scummy - but didn't have as much of a problem with that on D1 when he was watching Death, Lego, and Finster. Had a contradiction that Rhizo pointed out recently, where he started off saying Lynching was better than NL, then later was NL supporting. Most notable for the early game interaction with Lego and D34TH. Kept a FoS on D34TH after his 'confirmed town' statement on Finster. I feel neutral about 1ceCream with a very slight scum leaning, due primarily to how willing he was to scumhunt on d1 but on d2 posted he was afraid of making a mistake... were you not afraid D1?

Mazuurek - Lumping him in with Rafay in terms of not really participating. He posts more, but much of his posts contain little-to-no content and he just jumps on wagons without explanation or elaborating on his thoughts. Stated he thinks he has nothing to contribute and that's one reason why he's so quiet. Hard to tell if this is just a defense so he can lurk as scum, or whether he's genuinely that unwilling to try and play the game. His inactivity is on par with Rafay almost - but that gives me very little to say scum or town wise. His vote for Lego just now feels like his usual bandwagoning vote with no explanation given.

Rafay - Barely posted at all, but DID have a post at the very beginning of the day - showing he was active enough to see that. Very likely lurking at this point. If he was simply inactive I'd be less inclined to let wagons on him go, but that early post is a bit telling. Only problem is he apparently lurks EVERY game, so unable to tell if that's a scum tell on him or not. A wagon built on him rather quickly on D1 which struck me as suspicious, and made me think of him as town due to a potential scum push on an "easy" D1 lynch that ended up not happening. I'm wondering if we could consider asking TW to simply replace Rafay if he doesn't get more active, to remove this distraction altogether.

---

So my updated list as a result of all this:

Scum suspects: KevinH, Lyner, Lego/D34TH (latter two may be downgraded to 'scum feel' based on recent posts)
Scum feel: 1ceCream, Wolfpacks
Town feel: ChaplainOfDeath, iSocialism, Rhizo, Finster
WTF Guys Actually Play The Game You Signed Up For: Rafay, Mazuurek (and to a degree 1ceCream here too)

My vote still rests on KevinH

---

Bleh. I have spent way too long reviewing the thread at this point, so I am going to stop here. I'll look at further posts in the morning.

-Preston
Addendum: And I'm tired enough that I can't sum my own lists right at the end :P Add Canik under Town feel there at the end, since can't edit.
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#360
Lyner

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- Why would Finster constantly talk about how Lego is suspicious

posts http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-3#entry873432

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-5#entry873707

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-7#entry874114

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-10#entry874517

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-15#entry875237)

Is he saying it to Lego or is he sending a message to rest of us "look town I was hunting him"?

Why would he mention he can't decide if he should vote on Rafay or Lego (that last post I've cited), while just few posts later he "forgets" Lego was on his potential scum lists:?

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-15#entry875302

And then luckily soon enough he reminds himself about him:

http://ironcentral.org/community/topic/57842-tw-03-harry-potter-and-the-chamber-of-secrets-mafia-day-2/page-18#entry875719

Uhhh I don't see what're you implying here AbT, are you saying that Finster is a scum trying to make Lego looks suspicious, or?

 

Also while Godfather might be made immune to everything by TW, how could scums know that? It's too risky.

 

Unless we assume that scums aren't playing optimally. In this case AbT is correct that lynching Lego today could lead us to other scums, and the damage to town is minimal since he is vanilla.

 

 

@Canik objective gaming man :P

 

Anyway I'm getting scummy vibes from D34TH. @D34THBR1NG3R can you give us a summary on why you suspected Lego on day 1? Any other suspicious person in your mind?



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