This will be my last long post for awhile hopefully. I am sold on Imran and won't be changing it after his comment. The only way I will change is if ABT needs another vote, as they both are likely scum to me.
So I'll eeborate more on exactly what I'm talking about.
You ask me why I didn't suspect TW when he supported the idea as well. I already stated I missed this dialogue between both you and TW. Since you pointed it out, I wasn't sold one way or other on TW, but your recent push makes me think more he is. Now when it comes to Canik...I said early on, well before Canik came out supporting the idea I found both him and Whitebeard scummish, and was going to vote either of them. Canik rehashing the whole breadcrumb idea was not the reason I voted him, but it certainly didn't help. Imran also supported the idea after the holes were presented, and I even stated he was on my suspicious list but I wasn't sold on that. So at most, if I saw TW's comments, I'd do the same as I would have with Imran, called him out for it and be suspicious but not sold one way or the other. For that matter, if we were only going off the breadcrumb idea, Mandarijn and you could be just as much, one brought up the idea the other liked it...but I gave you both the benefit of the doubt because you may not have thought about it at all angles.
The difference is, my suspicion of Canik didn't start at him liking the breadcrumbs idea, it was before that...your suspicion of TW only started when he said it had merit. I'm not talking yet about what has come after, I'm talking about you first started being suspicious when he agreed it had merit. Prove me wrong, as I don't think you can.
I'd also point out, TW wasn't the only one supporting the idea after the holes were pointed out. As I already said, Imran was as well.
I like Mandarijn's idea. With everyone posting there scum/town predictions it will be extremely hard for the scum to pinpoint in on the real cop. Some people may get things right even by random guessing. So its not like only the cop will have correct predictions. The scum wont know for sure who is just guessing and who has actual info. The results will only be for 2 nights (assuming the cop comes out on the 3rd day) so the scum wont have enough of a sample size to weed out the guesses from the correct info. I think this is a very good insurance policy for the town in that the night results from the cop will not get lost even if he gets killed before revealing them.
You didn't suspect him though for saying that after I pointed out the bad things about the idea. If the first thing TW said that made you suspicious was agreeing with the idea, then why didn't you suspect or put pressure on Imran when he said that? Again if that all it took for you.
Now let's look into something else you said
I hate when people get really cheap and bring RL as an excuse: "I don't have time to play", "I don't care about this game anymore" ... yet they lurk on. That's the lowest scum can fall in order to save his hide
This I completely disagreed with, and think it's a bit low of you. I for one know this...i for one dealt with this in two mafia games, and times will in this one. I was forced to take time away I had with my wife (which at times is little) because I was being suspected in both games, and had I not taken the time I would of been lynched for sure. I was a SK and a scum, but neither my roles were any reason for not posting or strategy, it was real life getting in the way. So I have sympathy for people who have this happen to them. Normally I'd let it go, but yet Imran was one to call me out for it in past games and made me take time away to do so, you were one of them, so I'm not so quickly to give something that was not given to me, understanding. But yet...you make this remark and Imran has been inactive and not posting up til today, yet you didn't call him out or suspect him like you did with me and others in other games. COD has had the same thing in this game, you haven't called him out either. Why not? Is somehow they different then me? Is somehow their real life more important then mine was in the past? Why you so understanding with them and not me?
Now that we're done with that, let's get into the points I have made about you being fixated and looking to switch whatever TW says into something else. You want to know why I don't suspect TW from your claims, because your evidence is pretty hollow, it merely reeks of desperation to push a lynch.
1. It started from his posting style - no substance in it. Just making sure to be seen around.
2. He turns out to be a supporter of that dangerous "breadcrumb" idea. When I point it out he comes with very evasive answer:
I don't care how we decide to do it ultimately. We just need activity, participation, and information. We need whatever information that the cop can provide. We can't afford to lose it before it can be shared because otherwise we literally have nothing but instinct to act on (or the slim chance of the jail keeper targeting the correct scum member at night and preventing a kill).
Just another hollow statement that we need to be active and cant afford to loose cop. And on top of it, TW does not care what we'll do. Well, I do care and I don't want us to act in a way that will make it easier for the scum.
1. You suddenly now start saying his posts have no substance. Yet no where in Day 1 did you ever even suggest that or call him out for that, you just suddenly did
2. For someone who isn't trying to use the supporter of a breadcrumb idea, you sure keep bringing it up as a reason for a lynch.
The second paragraph, you're literally trying to read way into something. You say he has no substance, well let me point you to another persons post who has as much substance.
Take Mandarijn's first two posts on day 2
I guess we should start with pressuring the lurkers again...
Rafay, iSoc, Whitebeard! You guys need to participate more!!!
Let's pressure the lurkers!
Vote: iSoc
If you want to go off no substance and just wanting to be seen...Mandarijn's would be that.
By all means ABT, go ahead and continue your quest to have me lynched. I'm sure that the mafia will appreciate you wasting your time and everyone else's. The rest of the town on the other hand will not appreciate it.
That has scum written all around it. There's no arguments, no reasoning here. He's not even trying to discuss (like for instance Lyner did when I poked him), he's just evading with some emotional trick that's supposed to make me feel guilty for suspecting him.
Again, reading way into nothing.
But then again, you bring up the same thing TW said, but a few posts later
"By all means ABT, go ahead and continue your quest to have me lynched. I'm sure that the mafia will appreciate you wasting your time and everyone else's. The rest of the town on the other hand will not appreciate it."
I don't see why a town would use this argument (desperate one, sure - desperate ones tend to make desperate moves). It has no discussion value, it's just an emotional attack. Town that's wrongly accused will try to explain his motives and reasoning because it's natural for him. He's not afraid because he's done nothing wrong - after all he's a town. Scum does not have that comfort (obviously he can't explain his motives) so he's prone to respond emotionally.
If we didn't get it the first time, now let's resay what we just said as seemingly more evidence. And in fact, he seems to have to be afraid because you're the one going after him pushing the lynch. How can you say town has nothing to worry about...he very well has something to worry about, you're trying your hardest to lynch him when I have yet to see him do anything that wrong besides be ok with breadcrumbs which means Canik and Imran should be as suspected as him.
Ali bin Turban: Seemed townie on day 1. I'm less certain now. We should definitely be analyzing people's habits and discussing them but that doesn't mean that we abandon strategy at the same time. The two don't have to be mutually exclusive. Only scum would want us to get away from strategizing especially since they can't do so together during the day.
Could be either but I think this could be the first game we see ABT as scum.
Again, he's not even trying to reason as rational town would do. Rational town is never sure who's who. He'll rather show proofs of his innocence than strike blindly because he knows the risk. No, instead TW looks for an argument to hit me back. And he finds just one and really weak one and use it to come into conclusion I'm a scum. Why do I think it's weak? I believe my actions and participation speak for me (but if anyone has something against me, come out and speak, I'm not afraid to explain myself).
I'm looking for a scum. I'm probing people, poking them, because I don't know who they are. I'm not afraid to vote on someone just to put more pressure on him. What's TW's approach? Evade questions and strike back with accusation. At the same time he didn't even have balls to vote on me. Probably afraid to be the first one
I read this...when did he ever say you were scum. He didn't say it, he said he's less certain now. How many people have said something has made them less certain someone's town but not voted them? I think there is some examples of this in this very game.
My biggest suspect is for now TW (I agree with Lyner on that). I've already mentioned one of the reasons (at the beginning). I also find his posts suspicious in general. If you dig into them in order to get any substance there's not much to be found. Just some general truths and summaries
These are the ones I love from you and Imran, you both like to use the phrase, "I find someone's posts suspicious." Yet it's a blanket statement every time, no where did you cite an example. Imran has done the same with King Hitler on here..."I found some of his posts a bit scummy as well." I mean you want to talk about no substance, how hard is it for someone to just say, "yea posts are scummy." My posts maybe long, I at least try to point to examples. Again, you never had a problem or mentioned a problem with TW before the breadcrumbs, after he said it had merit then you start slinging out about his past posts. You weren't afraid to call out people for their posts or thoughts day 1...why if you were so suspicious of them didnt you do the same for TW?
Secondly, I don't see you pressing people to post. Posting "People need to post more" or stating obvious facts "iSocialism is lurking, he could be a scum" is no pressure. That's just repeating what everyone thinks. What did you do about Lyner apart from writing "Lyner needs to post more" i one of your many summaries? Did it make Lyner post more? Or maybe it was me who prodded him and forced into more active stance?
You're forced to be active, because everyone would notice your lurking instantly (it would be extremely odd for a generally active person to lurk) so you're active in a way that gives town little benefits.
If you're basing that as a reason to vote TW, why are you singling him out? I've already linked 2 posts by Mandarijn who said exactly what you're describing, saying repeating what everyone thinks.
Here's another by Mandarijn
Yeah, you're right, now we're doing shit. Everyone is being quiet (me included
), this is not helping at all... We should still share our thoughts and play like normal. We need to continue playing like normal and accuse people and get everyone to talk as we can't rely on the cop, so the accusations and talking might be the only things we have...
My thoughts and accusations on everyone:
- Chaplain is more quiet than usual, normally he's one of the top posters
- Ali is playing like normal in my eyes (even though I've only played 1 game), could be town or scum. He would be smart enough to keep his playing style.
- Imran has been rather quiet, I have no read about him yet, so could be both. He seems to be pushing less than in other games though.
- TW: I don't know about him. He's always been scum before, so I'm not sure how he plays as a townie. Could be either...
- Rhizo has the same problem (was SK and scum), but he feels town to me for once
- Rafay is always suspicious to me, he got accused early on D1 and he actually tried to defend himself and became pretty active for a second. I don't remember him doing this in the other games we played. Now the accusations dropped and he's again just riding along...
- KH and Whitebeard are new, not much there. If I had to say something I would say KH is town, Whitebeard could be either.
- Canik, also could be both, but I'm leaning towards town
- iSoc is not posting much AGAIN, so not much to go of there
So yeah, like always a lot of possible scums.
Now talk!
I'm also tempted to vote for Rafay, because it's Rafay, he's always suspicious and I wouldn't mind lynching him at all as he'll be little help all game. But I want to see some other guys post 1st...
His first paragraph was pretty much what all townies would think...it's not really helpful. His list also doesn't really force anyone to post...yet you don't go after him. His list is what probably most are thinking of each person without any real evidence one way or the other
Finally, you've been on Fermion's bandwagon (to be clear, I was 3rd), jumped as a 4th one - quite a safe number, to stay away from the heat should he turn out not to be a town (coupled with that you were not pressing him). You're also constantly reminding us about Whitebeard. This is not much on it's own, but I'm mentioning that to show that If you turn out to be scum, those two are most likely to be confirmed townies (Canik for sure, Whitebeard less so).
Already stated, but I will say again. A blatant stretch as a reason. IMO someone jumping on 3rd is a lot safer number then #4 who would be the deciding vote on if he's lynched. 4 probably the least safest...case and point look at King Hitler. Imran suspects him because he was #4 on the Robert vote...he didn't go after #3 or #2 or #1 on that. Yet 3 is less safe then 4 in your eyes.
I'll cut my responses not to make wall of text. What you propose is extremely bad idea. As a matter of fact you're literally asking cop to waste his action.
What is investigation worth with the knowledge that framer can alter its results if he pleases so? If you get scum result, you'll argue you got framed. If you get town result I won't believe (and probably not only me) it because of the blatant setup that is possible here
Now there is a chance a framer could make TW's townie turn to scum....but to your response if he gets town you wont believe him has already been proved wrong. Kevin has since stated a framer can't turn a scum into town...so if he in fact came out town, he is town. (this info is in the wiki of mafia as well, before Kevin posted) It could be a waste like you said, because they could look to frame him and make us believe he's scum...but that's it. Not only that, but this is a very statement I'd likely make if someone was suspicious of me without thinking of all the scenarios. At this point, I would agree it wouldn't be wise for the cop to look at TW because the framer would likely have the best shot of using his ability right, and if he came up scum it wouldn't be 100% certain either way, though I'd likely have to lynch him just in case. But if suggesting an idea without thinking about all the scenarios was the reason to be lynched, you and Mandarijn and anyone else who agreed upon the breadcrumbs without me pointing out the problems with it then should be.
So case in point...all I see is very little evidence of anything. What I see more is someone pushing reasons to get TW lynched which can be said for the likes of many people. Mandairjn has been used as an example, but same could be said for King Hitler who hasn't posted tons of "substance" nor really looked to scum hunt, and Rafay, isocialism, whitebeard, COD, etc. You want to point me to something TW has done that others can't be said the same for, then do so. The only thing so far that's any damning is his cop idea, yet could be him saying it before running scenarios of that being bad. You say you're scum-hunting, no, you're hunting a single person using reasons I could say for the whole bunch. What I find most damning with you is your difference in this game then others. Other games you call people out to get lynched when not active or use real life, yet you don't go after Imran for that...you go after TW for agreeing with breadcrumb idea, you don't go after Imran who agreed with still using it first after i said it was bad, you go after TW for not scum-hunting, but Imran has been inactive and hasn't either and TW has more then him, Imran just posted a very damning piece that pretty sums up he is scum, yet you don't go after him, you don't even call him out for it, you just let him speak for himself. You have singled out an individual for very soft reasons, while shedding a blind eye to an Individual that has more going against him, and any other game he'd be your #1 suspect. I mean I get why, he's already linked himself to you multiple times, you two are working in pair, so if one goes down and is scum, the other is likely to, especially Imran's last comment about the VT claiming where he singled you specifically out.
All I see is someone starting to suspect someone because of a breadcrumb idea, and then using very soft arguments for things he said afterwards to make it more of a case against him....for which most can be said for multiple people. If two people are more connected together, it's you and Imran. And now, with Imran's latest comment, it is beyond suspicious to me, and it also links you with him.
And lastly, let me refresh your memory from the CN game when I tried to claim I was a VT. You called me out that a VT wouldn't try to save themselves and get (D3mon) who was inactive but likely had a PR lynched. Imran's comment suggests the idea both you and him tried to indicate you were VT's on Day 1. So please, without going completely against what you said, why would a VT look to out themselves on Day 1 they were a VT to save themselves and help the chances the scum hits a PR? How would that be a good move to help out town? Because it wouldn't be. All it is, is Imran trying to take suspicion on why you and him won't get killed at night and using a horrible reason that if anything, only proves he's scum, because a VT would never do that. This whole game we have been discussing ways to keep the cop hid the longest as well as get information out in case he died before he could...and then Imran suggests he and you indicated you were VT's that simply would make the cop or other PR's found quicker. It was a crappy theory to try to explain why you two wont be killed at night, and it just puts a final dagger in you both that you're scum.
I had a hunch yesterday you were maybe scum which is why I asked you the question. But now with Imran posting and looking even more like you two are in cahoots, and the whole VT thing...yea Imran officially has solidified it for me and makes any suspicion of TW go away. I don't care which one of you goes today, both I am pretty sold are going to come up scum...and if the first one comes up scum then the other is done for as well.